Match Info

ESTONIA: Esiliiga - Round 24

Date: 21 August 2024, Wednesday

Location: Kalevi Keskstaadion (Tallinn)


	Tallinna Kalev U21		Harju JK Laagri

	1	X	2
				Watch
	8.25	6.25	1.22
	9.5	6	1.2
	8.68	6.3	1.22
	8.69	6	1.24
	7.5	6.5	1.2
	8.95	6.35	1.21
	9.5	6	1.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.72 ↑ (6.18)	6.2 ↑ (6)	1.21 ↓ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tallinna Kalev U21
10.4%

Draw
14.7%

Harju JK Laagri
74.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.7%

15.2%

70.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.3%

14.8%

72.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tallinna Kalev U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Harju JK Laagri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallinna Kalev U21 than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harju JK Laagri than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Tallinna Kalev U21 - Harju JK Laagri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lepp S. (G) 26. Ernits R. 20. Pank G. 3. Kajari E. 2. Kollo A. 14. Sal-Al-Saller D. 11. Palu R. 9. Kaupmees R. 12. Surogin A. 19. Poder J. 8. Laasner K. (C)	1. Vainula J. M. (G) 4. Jarve A. (C) 3. Kaevats A. 44. Must S. 7. Reimaa R. 87. Jose M. 17. Kelement M. 23. Rudenko Daniil 9. Eerme K. 16. Kriis K. 11. Kose A.
Substitutes
27. Ilves R. 10. Kippar K. 16. Kirt A. 29. Korasteljov K. 17. Kubensky S. 77. Lasn O. 6. Luht S. 7. Talu R. 13. Vetkal M. (G)	14. Antonov K. A. 13. Einmann K. 45. Kangur S. 6. Kariste J. 71. Rimmel M. (G) 10. Sikk A. 20. Viira S. M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
18', 0 - 1, Eerme K. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Laasner K. (Pen),
32', 1 - 2, Kriis K. ⚽,
42', 1 - 3, Kriis K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
51', 1 - 4, Eerme K. ⚽,
54', Sal-Al-Saller D. ↓, Luht S. ↑,
56', Palu R. 🟨,
57', Kajari E. ↓, Kirt A. ↑,
57', Surogin A. ↓, Talu R. ↑,
57', Kose A. ↓, Sikk A. ↑,
57', Kaevats A. ↓, Kariste J. ↑,
57', Jose M. ↓, Antonov K. A. ↑,
59', 1 - 5, Rudenko Daniil ⚽,
71', 2 - 5, Talu R. ⚽,
87', 2 - 6, Sikk A. ⚽,
90', 🟥,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tallinna Kalev U21
Estonian Esiliiga
18.08.24	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Tallinna Kalev U21	0:3 ✺
11.08.24	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Paide U21	3:0 ✺
05.08.24	Viimsi JK - Tallinna Kalev U21	6:0 ✺
27.07.24	FC Tallinn - Tallinna Kalev U21	2:2 ✺
23.07.24	Flora U21 - Tallinna Kalev U21	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 35.9 WWLTW
- Harju JK Laagri
Estonian Esiliiga
17.08.24	Harju JK Laagri - Tartu Welco	1:1 ✺
Estonian Cup
14.08.24	Harju JK Laagri - Nõmme United	3:0 ✺
Estonian Esiliiga
10.08.24	Flora U21 - Harju JK Laagri	1:3 ✺
03.08.24	Harju JK Laagri - FC Tallinn	2:1 ✺
27.07.24	Harju JK Laagri - Tabasalu	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
13.07.24	Harju JK Laagri - Tallinna Kalev U21	3:3
21.04.24	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Harju JK Laagri	1:4

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