Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 14

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday


	La Calzada		Agoncillo

	1	X	2
	2.18	3	3.1
	2	3.23	3.62
	2.18	3.18	3.2
	2.1	3	3.4
	2.07	3.18	3.29
	1.96	3.2	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.16)	3.13 ↑ (3.1)	3.37 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Calzada
43.8%

Draw
29.1%

Agoncillo
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

29.4%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

31%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Calzada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Agoncillo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Calzada than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agoncillo than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

La Calzada - Agoncillo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Brun L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
75', 0 - 2, ⚽,
80', 0 - 3, ⚽,
86', 1 - 3, ⚽,
89', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Calzada won 4.

Recent performances by La Calzada have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Agoncillo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

La Calzada is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, La Calzada won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:2. (average 1.7:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, La Calzada won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:1. (average 2.2:0.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDFC La Calzada
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
05.12.25	Villegas - La Calzada	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	La Calzada - Calahorra	3:2 ✺
16.11.25	Comillas - La Calzada	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	La Calzada - Vianés	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Arnedo - La Calzada	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWWWL
- CD Agoncillo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
06.12.25	Agoncillo - Varea	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Peña Balsamaiso - Agoncillo	1:2 ✺
15.11.25	Agoncillo - Autol	3:2 ✺
08.11.25	Berceo - Agoncillo	1:6 ✺
01.11.25	Agoncillo - UD Logroñés Promesas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
27.10.24	La Calzada - Agoncillo	3:0
26.03.23	La Calzada - Agoncillo	1:0
27.11.22	Agoncillo - La Calzada	1:0
10.04.22	La Calzada - Agoncillo	1:0
27.11.21	Agoncillo - La Calzada	0:1
28.03.21	La Calzada - Agoncillo	3:0
18.11.18	La Calzada - Agoncillo	3:1

La Calzada - Agoncillo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide