Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 16

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday


	Harrow Borough		Salisbury

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.7	1.87
	3.25	3.75	1.9
	3.29	4.07	1.9
	3.29	4.07	1.9
	3.24	3.72	1.91
	3.25	3.75	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (3.16)	3.84 ↑ (3.75)	1.9 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harrow Borough
28.2%

Draw
23.7%

Salisbury
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

24.2%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

23.7%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harrow Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Salisbury has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Harrow Borough aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salisbury than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Harrow Borough - Salisbury Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League South Division (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Harrow won 0.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Salisbury could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Salisbury will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Harrow won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Harrow won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harrow Borough
English FA Trophy
28.10.23	Harrow Borough - Beaconsfield Town	1:2 ✺
English Southern League South Division
24.10.23	Harrow Borough - Bracknell Town	1:4 ✺
21.10.23	Winchester City - Harrow Borough	1:2 ✺
17.10.23	Didcot Town - Harrow Borough	2:2 ✺
14.10.23	Harrow Borough - Swindon Supermarine	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LLWTT
- Salisbury FC
English Southern League South Division
24.10.23	Salisbury - Plymouth Parkway	2:1 ✺
21.10.23	Didcot Town - Salisbury	1:2 ✺
14.10.23	Salisbury - Gosport Borough	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Gosport Borough - Salisbury	3:2 penalties ✺
English FA Cup
03.10.23	Slough Town - Salisbury	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
14.02.23	Salisbury - Harrow Borough	0:0
26.11.22	Harrow Borough - Salisbury	0:1
09.04.22	Harrow Borough - Salisbury	0:0
21.08.21	Salisbury - Harrow Borough	2:1
26.09.20	Harrow Borough - Salisbury	1:2
10.03.20	Harrow Borough - Salisbury	2:2
19.10.19	Salisbury - Harrow Borough	3:1

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