Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League South Division - Round 41

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday


	Harrow Borough		Tiverton Town

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.5	2.2
	2.5	3.6	2.35
	2.52	3.94	2.38
	2.77	3.94	2.19
	2.74	3.75	2.22
	2.5	3.6	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.27)	3.72 ↓ (3.83)	2.28 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harrow Borough
35.3%

Draw
24.6%

Tiverton Town
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

24.1%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

24.2%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harrow Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Harrow Borough's form might have worsened.

Tiverton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrow Borough than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Harrow Borough, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tiverton Town than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Muhemba E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', 1 - 1, Wright J. ⚽,
90+7', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Harrow won 1.

Harrow is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tiverton is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Harrow could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Harrow won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Harrow won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harrow Borough
English Southern League South Division
13.04.24	Salisbury - Harrow Borough	0:2 ✺
09.04.24	Plymouth Parkway - Harrow Borough	1:3 ✺
06.04.24	Harrow Borough - Beaconsfield Town	2:1 ✺
01.04.24	Harrow Borough - Chesham United	1:4 ✺
28.03.24	Walton & Hersham - Harrow Borough	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 34 WWWLT
- Tiverton Town
English Southern League South Division
18.04.24	Tiverton Town - Winchester City	2:0 ✺
16.04.24	Tiverton Town - Dorchester Town	0:2 ✺
13.04.24	Tiverton Town - Chesham United	2:0 ✺
09.04.24	Tiverton Town - Gosport Borough	1:2 ✺
06.04.24	Totton - Tiverton Town	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
11.11.23	Tiverton Town - Harrow Borough	0:0
07.03.23	Harrow Borough - Tiverton Town	2:2
06.08.22	Tiverton Town - Harrow Borough	0:0
19.03.22	Tiverton Town - Harrow Borough	2:1
14.12.21	Harrow Borough - Tiverton Town	3:2
07.12.19	Harrow Borough - Tiverton Town	1:5
20.04.19	Tiverton Town - Harrow Borough	1:1

Harrow Borough - Tiverton Town: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide