Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League South Division - Round 40

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday


	Tiverton Town		Chesham United

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.9	1.73
	3.6	4	1.75
	3.39	4.6	1.78
	3.39	4.61	1.78
	3.87	3.81	1.79
	3.6	4	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↓ (3.9)	4.15 ↓ (4.43)	1.76 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tiverton Town
25.9%

Draw
22.1%

Chesham United
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

20.9%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

20.9%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiverton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Chesham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tiverton Town than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesham United than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
71', 1 - 0, Moulden A. ⚽,
78', 2 - 0, Rice J. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South).

Chesham is Confirmed as championsnQualified for National League South

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tiverton won 1.

Recent matches Tiverton is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chesham in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Chesham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Chesham is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Tiverton won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Tiverton won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiverton Town
English Southern League South Division
09.04.24	Tiverton Town - Gosport Borough	1:2 ✺
06.04.24	Totton - Tiverton Town	5:0 ✺
01.04.24	Dorchester Town - Tiverton Town	2:1 ✺
30.03.24	Tiverton Town - Merthyr Town	2:0 ✺
23.03.24	Tiverton Town - Hanwell Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLLWW
- Chesham United
English Southern League South Division
06.04.24	Chesham United - Salisbury	2:1 ✺
01.04.24	Harrow Borough - Chesham United	1:4 ✺
29.03.24	Chesham United - Hayes & Yeading United	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	Basingstoke Town - Chesham United	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Chesham United - Totton	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
05.12.23	Chesham United - Tiverton Town	2:0
18.02.23	Tiverton Town - Chesham United	2:1
01.10.22	Chesham United - Tiverton Town	3:0
22.02.22	Chesham United - Tiverton Town	4:1
14.08.21	Tiverton Town - Chesham United	0:0
18.03.20	Tiverton Town - Chesham United	Canceled
26.03.19	Tiverton Town - Chesham United	0:2

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