Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League South Division - Round 30

Date: 9 April 2024, Tuesday


	Plymouth Parkway		Harrow Borough

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.9	4
	1.66	3.75	4.2
	1.72	4.22	3.82
	1.72	4.22	3.82
	1.7	3.94	4.16
	1.66	3.75	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.51)	3.96 ↓ (4.25)	4.03 ↓ (5.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plymouth Parkway
54.3%

Draw
23%

Harrow Borough
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

21.5%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

20.9%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plymouth Parkway has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Plymouth Parkway's form might have worsened.

Harrow Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Parkway than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Plymouth Parkway, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrow Borough than the current prediction. (-5%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 3)
48', 0 - 1, Talla L. ⚽,
60', 0 - 2, Muhemba E. ⚽,
64', 0 - 3, Tutton J. ⚽,
80', 1 - 3, White S. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 14 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Plymouth Parkway is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Harrow has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Harrow could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Plymouth Parkway is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Plymouth Parkway won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Plymouth Parkway won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plymouth Parkway
English Southern League South Division
07.04.24	Plymouth Parkway - Swindon Supermarine	4:1 ✺
01.04.24	Plymouth Parkway - Poole Town	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Sholing - Plymouth Parkway	1:1 ✺
26.03.24	Plymouth Parkway - Didcot Town	2:1 ✺
23.03.24	Bracknell Town - Plymouth Parkway	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWTWL
- Harrow Borough
English Southern League South Division
06.04.24	Harrow Borough - Beaconsfield Town	2:1 ✺
01.04.24	Harrow Borough - Chesham United	1:4 ✺
28.03.24	Walton & Hersham - Harrow Borough	4:4 ✺
23.03.24	Harrow Borough - Hungerford Town	1:6 ✺
16.03.24	Gosport Borough - Harrow Borough	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
23.09.23	Harrow Borough - Plymouth Parkway	2:1
18.03.23	Plymouth Parkway - Harrow Borough	4:0
15.10.22	Harrow Borough - Plymouth Parkway	0:1

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