Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 23

Date: 24 February 2026, Tuesday


	Tiverton Town		Dorchester Town

	1	X	2
	2.87	3.3	2.1
	3.25	3.35	1.98
	2.95	3.45	2.1
	3.33	3.68	2.01	Watch
	3.25	3.2	1.95
	3.32	3.36	1.99
	2.8	3.75	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.46)	3.44 ↓ (3.77)	2.04 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tiverton Town
29.2%

Draw
26.4%

Dorchester Town
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

24.6%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

24%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiverton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tiverton Town's form might have worsened.

Dorchester Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dorchester Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiverton Town than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tiverton Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorchester Town than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dorchester Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Tiverton Town - Dorchester Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Tiverton will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Dorchester will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tiverton (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', 0 - 1, Daws M. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tiverton won 1.

Tiverton is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Dorchester's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tiverton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Tiverton has had a series of away games.

Dorchester is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Tiverton won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:32. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Tiverton won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.3:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Tiverton Town - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 37.7%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiverton Town
English Southern League South Division
21.02.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Tiverton Town	3:2 ✺
07.02.26	Uxbridge - Tiverton Town	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Gloucester City - Tiverton Town	3:1 ✺
17.01.26	Tiverton Town - Hanwell Town	0:2 ✺
10.01.26	Chertsey Town - Tiverton Town	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Dorchester Town
English Southern League South Division
21.02.26	Gosport Borough - Dorchester Town	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	Dorchester Town - Evesham United	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Yate Town - Dorchester Town	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Dorchester Town - Hanwell Town	1:4 ✺
24.01.26	Dorchester Town - Havant & Waterlooville	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
12.08.25	Dorchester Town - Tiverton Town	1:3
21.12.24	Dorchester Town - Tiverton Town	5:0
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Tiverton Town - Dorchester Town	0:1 penalties
English Southern League South Division
13.08.24	Tiverton Town - Dorchester Town	1:1
16.04.24	Tiverton Town - Dorchester Town	0:2
01.04.24	Dorchester Town - Tiverton Town	2:1
04.02.23	Tiverton Town - Dorchester Town	3:0

Tiverton Town - Dorchester Town: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide