Match Info

Division 3 - Group 5 - Round 22

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday


	Harstad		Skedsmo

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.60	2.30
	2.35	3.85	2.28
	2.35	3.71	2.40
	2.5	4.1	2.26	Watch
	2.30	3.65	2.35
	2.46	4.55	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.63)	3.91 ↓ (4.03)	2.32 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harstad
37.8%

Draw
23.2%

Skedsmo
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

22.8%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

22.3%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Skedsmo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harstad than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skedsmo than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Harstad - Skedsmo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Andersen G. ⚽,
29', 2 - 0, Varmedal-Haugan M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
62', Andersen G. 🟥,
70', 2 - 1, Evensen M. ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 2, Issifou Lamkoudjo C. ⚽,

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 3rd and 1st in the Promotion).

Harstad is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Skedsmo is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Skedsmo could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Harstad has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Skedsmo	22	16	2	4	52:27	25	50
4	Harstad	22	12	4	6	69:35	34	40

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harstad
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
27.09.26	Kongsvinger 2 - Harstad	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Harstad - Skjetten	3:1 ✺
12.09.26	Harstad - Ulfstind	6:1 ✺
06.09.26	Tromsø 2 - Harstad	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	Lillestrøm 2 - Harstad	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWWW
- Skedsmo
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
26.09.26	Skedsmo - Ulfstind	7:0 ✺
19.09.26	Skjervøy - Skedsmo	1:2 ✺
14.09.26	Skedsmo - Lillestrøm 2	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	Skedsmo - Tromsø 2	3:1 ✺
16.08.26	Strømsgodset 2 - Skedsmo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
19.04.26	Skedsmo - Harstad	4:2

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