The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kongsvinger 2 49.4%
Draw 19.2%
Harstad 31.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
14.8%
16.4%
68.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
14.1%
15.6%
72.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kongsvinger 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+34.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kongsvinger 2's performance.
Harstad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-37.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Harstad might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kongsvinger 2 than the current prediction. (-35.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kongsvinger 2 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harstad than the current prediction. (+41%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Harstad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Kongsvinger 2 - Harstad Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', 1 - 0, Olawore E. ⚽,
55', 1 - 1, Andersen G. ⚽,
77', 2 - 1, Jacobsen A. ⚽,
83', Lysgard D. 🟥,
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 11th and 2nd).
Kongsvinger 2 is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Harstad is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Harstad could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, Harstad enters as the overwhelming favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Kongsvinger 2 has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:8 (averaging 1.5:4 goals per game).