Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 3

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Hartberg (Hartberg)

Referee: Ristoskov E. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1, Sky Go Germany
Russia	TV Start Triumph
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Hartberg		Austria Wien

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.40	2.40	Watch
	2.90	3.30	2.35
	2.75	3.15	2.38
	3.03	3.3	2.53
	2.82	3.32	2.52	Watch
	3	3.2	2.45
	2.92	3.46	2.44	Watch
	2.85	3.25	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↓ (3.29)	3.3 ↑ (3.28)	2.44 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hartberg
32.8%

Draw
28.6%

Austria Wien
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Austria Wien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartberg than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hartberg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austria Wien than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Austria Wien could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Hartberg - Austria Wien Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hartberg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Hartberg (6.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Hartberg (2.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Hartberg (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Austria Wien will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Hartberg (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Pecsi A. (G) 17. Karner J. 14. Komposch P. 19. Spendlhofer L. 18. Wilfinger F. 6. Coulibaly H. 23. Kainz T. (C) 4. Markus B. 10. Lukic O. 22. Hoffmann M. 7. Gattermayer A.	1. Sahin-Radlinger S. (G) 26. Ranftl R. (C) 46. Handl J. 3. Buhari I. 40. Nnodim D. 16. Lee Kang-Hee 22. Wustinger F. 17. Lee Tae-Seok 20. Hettwer J. 10. Saljic S. 14. Boateng K.
Substitutes
16. Dalpiaz M. 5. Diarra Y. 11. Drew J. 95. Feldhofer N. 28. Gerstl F. 21. Maric L. (G) 70. Onuoha C. 8. Postl M. 9. Urrutia A.	74. Deshishku H. 19. Eggestein J. 4. Feddersen J. 30. Fischer M. 99. Kos M. (G) 7. Markovic V. 6. Maybach P. 21. Schablas M. 37. Wels M.
Coaches
Schopp M.	Helm S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Gattermayer A. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Nnodim D. ⚽, Lee Tae-Seok (A),
45+1', Coulibaly H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Boateng K. 🟨,
61', Boateng K. ↓, Eggestein J. ↑,
61', Saljic S. ↓, Fischer M. ↑,
61', Wustinger F. ↓, Markovic V. ↑,
64', Karner J. ↓, Onuoha C. ↑,
64', Coulibaly H. ↓, Gerstl F. ↑,
75', Kainz T. ↓, Feldhofer N. ↑,
75', Hoffmann M. ↓, Urrutia A. ↑,
75', Nnodim D. ↓, Maybach P. ↑,
76', 0 - 2, Hettwer J. ⚽, Fischer M. (A),
84', Lukic O. ↓, Diarra Y. ↑,
84', Hettwer J. ↓, Feddersen J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hartberg won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Austria may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Hartberg: Fridrikas L. (Knee Injury) Schopp K. (Red Card)

There will not play in Austria: Botic N. (Broken ankle) Dragovic A. (Red Card) Sarkaria M. (Knee Injury) Wiesinger P. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hartberg won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 13 matches, and goals 20:36. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Hartberg won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1:1.7).

Outrights of Austrian Bundesliga for now

Austria Vienna: 0.84% Hartberg: 0.56%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Hartberg	7	2	2	3	10:13	-3	8
10	Austria Vienna	7	2	1	4	7:13	-6	7

Last Results with these Odds

Hartberg - the odds 3.29 are the expected chance of winning is 28.39%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV Hartberg
Austrian Bundesliga
08.08.26	Hartberg - Sturm Graz	0:2 ✺
01.08.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Hartberg	1:0 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
26.07.26	Imst - Hartberg	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Hartberg - ASK Voitsberg	0:2 ✺
18.07.26	Hartberg - First Vienna	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWLW
- Austria Wien
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.08.26	Austria Wien - Beitar Jerusalem	2:2 penalties ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
09.08.26	Austria Wien - LASK Linz	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.08.26	Beitar Jerusalem - Austria Wien	1:2 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
02.08.26	Wolfsberger - Austria Wien	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Austria Wien - Liepāja	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
03.05.26	Austria Wien - Hartberg	1:0
22.03.26	Hartberg - Austria Wien	0:1
01.11.25	Hartberg - Austria Wien	2:1
24.08.25	Austria Wien - Hartberg	1:3
Austrian OFB Cup
02.04.25	Austria Wien - Hartberg	0:1
Austrian Bundesliga
24.11.24	Austria Wien - Hartberg	1:0
18.08.24	Hartberg - Austria Wien	1:1

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