Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 6 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Stadionul Ilie Oană (Ploiesti)

Referee: Visser L. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	Sport 3
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Beitar Jerusalem		Austria Wien

	1	X	2
	1.80	3.40	4.50	Watch
	1.88	3.25	3.80
	1.94	3.50	3.70
	1.91	3.41	4.31
	2.32	3.21	3.11	Watch
	1.83	3.30	4.10
	1.98	3.37	3.98	Watch
	1.91	3.30	4.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.69)	3.34 ↓ (3.5)	3.94 ↓ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beitar Jerusalem
48.2%

Draw
28%

Austria Wien
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

25.9%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

28.1%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beitar Jerusalem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Beitar Jerusalem's form might have worsened.

Austria Wien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beitar Jerusalem than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Beitar Jerusalem, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austria Wien than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.4%	11.4%	77.1%

Beitar Jerusalem - Austria Wien Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Beitar Jerusalem will win (votes: 4 - 11.4%). Austria will win (votes: 27 - 77.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 11.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Austria: 63.2% – 91%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Beitar Jerusalem (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Austria (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Beitar Jerusalem (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Beitar Jerusalem (votes: 2 - 50%). Austria (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Miguel Silva (G) 2. Antwi N. 4. Carabali B. 5. Cohen G. 16. Cohen Y. 15. Muche N. 40. Boris Enow 26. Worko D. 77. Atzili O. 19. Weissman S. 7. Shua Y. (C)	1. Sahin-Radlinger S. (G) 40. Nnodim D. 3. Buhari I. 46. Handl J. 4. Feddersen J. 6. Maybach P. 21. Schablas M. 7. Markovic V. 30. Fischer M. (C) 20. Hettwer J. 14. Boateng K.
Substitutes
13. Ansah E. 8. Ben Shimol Z. 25. Deri L. 14. Elimelech R. 44. Gadrani L. 9. Kalu J. 24. Markovitch N. 11. Muzie T. 33. Nir D. (G) 22. Ozer Y. (G) 30. Yosefi T.	74. Deshishku H. 15. Dragovic A. 47. Kante A. 99. Kos M. (G) 16. Lee Kang-Hee 17. Lee Tae-Seok 26. Ranftl R. 10. Saljic S. 44. Toifl V. 37. Wels M. 22. Wustinger F.
Coaches
Cohen A.	Helm S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Muche N. ⚽,
27', Maybach P. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Markovic V. ⚽,
45+3', Carabali B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Maybach P. ↓, Wustinger F. ↑,
46', Buhari I. ↓, Ranftl R. ↑,
57', Weissman S. ↓, Muzie T. ↑,
57', Cohen G. ↓, Gadrani L. ↑,
62', Handl J. ↓, Dragovic A. ↑,
62', Hettwer J. ↓, Saljic S. ↑,
62', Boateng K. ↓, Wels M. ↑,
65', Shua Y. ↓, Ansah E. ↑,
65', Atzili O. ↓, Kalu J. ↑,
70', 1 - 2, Saljic S. ⚽, Nnodim D. (A),
75', Muche N. 🟨,
79', Gadrani L. 🟨,
82', Worko D. ↓, Yosefi T. ↑,
83', Ranftl R. 🟨,
86', Schablas M. 🟨,
90+2', Kalu J. 🟨,

Preview

First leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stadionul Ilie Oană.

Beitar Jerusalem has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Austria is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Austria may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Beitar Jerusalem will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beitar Jerusalem
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Beitar Jerusalem - AEK Larnaca	3:3 penalties ✺
23.07.26	AEK Larnaca - Beitar Jerusalem	0:1 ✺
Israeli Toto Cup
18.07.26	Beitar Jerusalem - Hapoel Tel Aviv	2:3 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
09.07.26	Beitar Jerusalem - Dukagjini	1:0 ✺
07.07.26	Arda Kardzhali - Beitar Jerusalem	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWLWT
- Austria Wien
Austrian Bundesliga
02.08.26	Wolfsberger - Austria Wien	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Austria Wien - Liepāja	3:1 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
26.07.26	Wiener - Austria Wien	0:5 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.07.26	Liepāja - Austria Wien	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
17.07.26	Austria Wien - Paksi SE	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWWW

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