Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 24 March 2023, Friday


	Hartberg		Sturm Graz B

	1	X	2
	1.2	6.75	8.25
	1.15	6.05	10.7
	1.16	7.8	13.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.31)	6.87 ↑ (5)	10.9 ↑ (7.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hartberg
78.3%

Draw
13.3%

Sturm Graz B
8.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

18.1%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

10.1%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hartberg's performance.

Sturm Graz B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartberg than the current prediction. (-39.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hartberg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz B than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sturm Graz B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hartberg - Sturm Graz B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hartberg won 2.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

In this match Hartberg is absolute favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Hartberg won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 21-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Hartberg won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV Hartberg
Austrian Bundesliga
19.03.23	Hartberg - LASK Linz	2:2 ✺
12.03.23	Austria Klagenfurt - Hartberg	1:0 ✺
04.03.23	Hartberg - Wolfsberger	2:1 ✺
25.02.23	Austria Wien - Hartberg	3:0 ✺
18.02.23	Hartberg - Sturm Graz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLWLL
- Sturm Graz B
Austrian 2 Liga
17.03.23	Kapfenberger SV - Sturm Graz B	3:1 ✺
12.03.23	Sturm Graz B - Dornbirn	0:4 ✺
03.03.23	Floridsdorfer AC - Sturm Graz B	0:1 ✺
26.02.23	Sturm Graz B - St. Pölten	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.02.23	Sturm Graz B - SC Weiz	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
10.02.18	Hartberg - Sturm Graz B	1:1
Austrian Regionalliga Central
21.05.17	Sturm Graz B - Hartberg	4:4
11.10.16	Hartberg - Sturm Graz B	6:1
20.05.16	Hartberg - Sturm Graz B	2:2
18.10.15	Sturm Graz B - Hartberg	1:3
Club Friendly
28.01.15	Sturm Graz B - Hartberg	2:5

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