Match Info

Bundesliga - Relegation Group - Round 32

Date: 23 May 2025, Friday

Location: Wörthersee Stadion (Klagenfurt)

Referee: Gishamer S. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Germany	Sky Go Germany
Serbia	SportKlub 4
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
World	Onefootball


	Austria Klagenfurt		Hartberg

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.6	2.88	Watch
	1.98	3.4	3.6
	2.25	3.6	2.95	Watch
	2.31	3.69	2.97
	2.32	3.57	2.95	Watch
	2	3.4	3.5
	2.26	3.6	3.01	Watch
	2.25	3.6	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (1.9)	3.56 ↓ (3.87)	3.1 ↓ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Austria Klagenfurt
42.9%

Draw
26.6%

Hartberg
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

24.4%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

25.3%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Austria Klagenfurt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Austria Klagenfurt's form might have worsened.

Hartberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austria Klagenfurt than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Austria Klagenfurt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartberg than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hartberg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.9%	0%	38.1%

Austria Klagenfurt - Hartberg Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Austria Klagenfurt will win (votes: 13 - 65%). Hartberg will win (votes: 7 - 35%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Austria Klagenfurt: 44.1% – 85.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Austria Klagenfurt (votes: 9 - 60%). Hartberg (votes: 6 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Hartberg (2.40) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

DNB - Hartberg (2.19) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Austria Klagenfurt (votes: 11 - 52.4%). Hartberg (votes: 10 - 47.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Spari S. (G) 17. Straudi S. 19. Szerencsi N. 31. Mahrer T. (C) 13. Hinteregger M. 35. Kitz M. 18. Salifou D. 6. Koch T. 24. Wernitznig C. 77. Bobzien B. 7. Jaritz F.	21. Maric L. (G) 14. Komposch P. 6. Karamatic M. 19. Hofer R. 95. Kovacevic D. 27. Prokop D. (C) 4. Markus B. 5. Diarra Y. 20. Pfeifer M. 7. Havel E. 33. Huskovic M.
Substitutes
2. Bonnah S. 37. Karic A. 1. Knaller M. (G) 27. Kuhn J. 70. Schwarz A. 10. Toshevski D. 95. Wydra P.	10. Avdijaj D. 79. Drew J. 28. Heil J. 22. Hoffmann M. 23. Kainz T. 9. Mijic P. 39. Scherf E. (G)
Coaches
Jancker C.	Schmid M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Havel E. ⚽, Markus B. (A),
6', Straudi S. 🟨,
25', Salifou D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Markus B. ↓, Kainz T. ↑,
46', Havel E. ↓, Mijic P. ↑,
46', Karamatic M. ↓, Heil J. ↑,
46', Prokop D. ↓, Avdijaj D. ↑,
46', Koch T. ↓, Toshevski D. ↑,
46', Kitz M. ↓, Wydra P. ↑,
60', Szerencsi N. 🟨,
63', Salifou D. ↓, Schwarz A. ↑,
77', Straudi S. ↓, Karic A. ↑,
77', Huskovic M. ↓, Drew J. ↑,
84', Kovacevic D. 🟨,
88', Hofer R. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Austria Klagenfurt won 1.

Recent form of Austria Klagenfurt has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Hartberg has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Austria Klagenfurt is the team to beat.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Austria Klagenfurt won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 38:28. (average 2.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Austria Klagenfurt won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 2.2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Austria Klagenfurt
Austrian Bundesliga
17.05.25	Rheindorf Altach - Austria Klagenfurt	0:0 ✺
10.05.25	Austria Klagenfurt - Swarovski Tirol	1:4 ✺
02.05.25	Grazer AK - Austria Klagenfurt	1:1 ✺
26.04.25	LASK Linz - Austria Klagenfurt	6:0 ✺
22.04.25	Austria Klagenfurt - LASK Linz	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLTLL
- TSV Hartberg
Austrian Bundesliga
17.05.25	Hartberg - Swarovski Tirol	3:2 ✺
10.05.25	LASK Linz - Hartberg	0:0 ✺
04.05.25	Hartberg - Rheindorf Altach	2:0 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
01.05.25	Wolfsberger - Hartberg	1:0 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
25.04.25	Hartberg - Grazer AK	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
29.03.25	Hartberg - Austria Klagenfurt	2:3
16.02.25	Hartberg - Austria Klagenfurt	1:1
21.09.24	Austria Klagenfurt - Hartberg	2:2
28.04.24	Hartberg - Austria Klagenfurt	3:2
07.04.24	Austria Klagenfurt - Hartberg	2:2
04.12.23	Austria Klagenfurt - Hartberg	1:1
27.08.23	Hartberg - Austria Klagenfurt	0:3

Upcoming Matches