Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Trinity Health Stadium (East Hartford, CT)

Referee: Thompson M. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Usa	CBS Sports Network, ESPN App, ESPN+, NESN Plus
Venezuela	Disney+


	Hartford Athletic		New Mexico United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.9	3.55	3.45
	1.92	3.7	3.72
	1.87	3.76	3.61	Watch
	1.85	3.3	3.5
	1.86	3.5	3.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.83)	3.56 ↑ (3.52)	3.58 ↓ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hartford Athletic
48.7%

Draw
25.7%

New Mexico United
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

26.1%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

25.2%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartford Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

New Mexico United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Hartford Athletic - New Mexico United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Siaha A. (G) 2. Anderson S. 15. Diz A. 4. Scarlett J. (C) 25. Fischer B. 19. Samadia E. 16. Coffey B. 6. Makangila B. 8. Moreira J. 11. Ngalina M. 9. Williams A.	13. Shakes K. (G) 17. LaCava J. 4. Keller K. 2. Hamalainen N. 3. Gloster C. 19. Bailey Z. 15. Jabang O. 7. Reid-Stephen N. 21. Noel V. 5. Harris D. 10. Hurst G. (C)
Substitutes
17. Anaku S. 1. Carvalho E. (G) 24. Flynn G. 27. Gordon S. 18. Hadjipaschalis C. 20. Hernandez A. 5. Njie B. 22. Presthus T.	29. Archimede L. 56. Arozarena R. (G) 27. Howell M. 11. Nava C. 9. Rennicks J. 28. Wilkerson C. 6. Zelalem G.
Coaches
Burke B.	Sanchez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Makangila B. 🟨,
34', Bailey Z. 🟨,
45', Harris D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Fischer B. 🟨,
62', Moreira J. ↓, Anaku S. ↑,
67', Harris D. ↓, Rennicks J. ↑,
68', Bailey Z. ↓, Zelalem G. ↑,
69', Samadia E. ↓, Njie B. ↑,
76', Coffey B. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
79', LaCava J. ↓, Howell M. ↑,
85', Reid-Stephen N. ↓, Nava C. ↑,
85', Hurst G. ↓, Archimede L. ↑,
87', Makangila B. 🟨,
89', Hernandez A. 🟨,
90+3', Burke B. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Hartford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, New Mexico has had a series of home games.

Hartford could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Hartford won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Hartford won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hartford Athletic
USL Championship
22.05.26	Tulsa - Hartford Athletic	2:0 ✺
USL Cup
16.05.26	Brooklyn - Hartford Athletic	0:2 ✺
USL Championship
09.05.26	Hartford Athletic - Detroit City	2:1 ✺
USL Cup
25.04.26	Hartford Athletic - Rhode Island	0:0 ✺
USL Championship
18.04.26	Hartford Athletic - Loudoun United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWTT
- New Mexico United
USL Championship
23.05.26	New Mexico United - Charleston Battery	1:0 ✺
20.05.26	New Mexico United - Tampa Bay Rowdies	0:1 ✺
USL Cup
16.05.26	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - New Mexico United	4:0 ✺
USL Championship
09.05.26	New Mexico United - Las Vegas Lights	3:1 ✺
06.05.26	New Mexico United - El Paso Locomotive	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
30.07.25	Hartford Athletic - New Mexico United	4:0
08.06.24	New Mexico United - Hartford Athletic	1:0
05.08.23	Hartford Athletic - New Mexico United	2:1
06.10.21	New Mexico United - Hartford Athletic	2:2

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