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Current Win Probability
New Mexico United 41.6%
Draw 25.1%
Phoenix Rising 33.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.2%
24.1%
29.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.4%
23.5%
28.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
Phoenix Rising has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New Mexico United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
66.7%
0%
New Mexico United - Phoenix Rising Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. New Mexico will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Shakes K. (G) 27. Howell M. 4. Keller K. 24. Blackett T. 3. Gloster C. 15. Jabang O. 28. Wilkerson C. 14. Dennis C. 21. Noel V. 31. Melto Quiah J. 10. Hurst G. (C)
1. Rakovsky P. (G) 28. Arase K. 4. Mar Boye P. (C) 51. Essengue A. 87. Flores D. 13. Moursou J. 8. Gomez D. 17. JP Scearce 19. Rivera D. 7. Sacko I. 70. Torres J.
Substitutes
29. Archimede L. 19. Bailey Z. 17. LaCava J. 11. Nava C. 33. Pannenberg A. (G) 9. Rennicks J. 6. Zelalem G.
27. Ambursley C. 10. Avayevu H. 20. Biasi L. 14. Odunze C. (G) 48. Schmitt T. 2. Smith C.
Coaches
Sanchez D.
Kah P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Hurst G. ⚽, Dennis C. (A),
22', Flores D. 🟨,
35', Jabang O. 🟨,
43', Arase K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Rivera D. ↓, Schmitt T. ↑,
60', Noel V. ↓, Bailey Z. ↑,
60', Hurst G. ↓, Rennicks J. ↑,
64', Torres J. ↓, Avayevu H. ↑,
64', Flores D. ↓, Ambursley C. ↑,
65', Dennis C. 🟨,
72', 1 - 1, Arase K. ⚽,
73', Melto Quiah J. ↓, Nava C. ↑,
73', Dennis C. ↓, LaCava J. ↑,
76', Arase K. ↓, Smith C. ↑,
80', Moursou J. 🟨,
81', 2 - 1, Wilkerson C. ⚽, Nava C. (A),
83', Essengue A. ↓, Biasi L. ↑,
84', Howell M. ↓, Archimede L. ↑,
90', Gomez D. 🟨,
90+3', Gloster C. 🟨,
90+5', Shakes K. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 2.
Recent results have been tough for New Mexico (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Phoenix Rising has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Phoenix Rising could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, New Mexico has recorded 8 wins, 1 draw, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 36:32 (averaging 2.1:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for New Mexico against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 19:10 goals (averaging 2.7:1.4 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
New Mexico United - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 46.16%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
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Shakes K. (G) 
Howell M. 
Blackett T. 
Noel V. 
Melto Quiah J. 
Hurst G. (C) 
Rakovsky P. (G) 
Arase K. 
Mar Boye P. (C) 
Essengue A. 
Flores D. 
Rivera D. 
Torres J. 
Archimede L. 
Bailey Z. 
Avayevu H. 
Kah P. 
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