Match Info

USL Cup

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Trinity Health Stadium (East Hartford, CT)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	CBS Sports Network


	Hartford Athletic		Rhode Island

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.72	2.62	2.78
	2.79	2.65	2.81
	2.85	2.9	2.56	Watch
	2.5	3	2.5
	2.93	2.95	2.5
	2.4	3.15	2.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.4)	2.88 ↓ (3.15)	2.65 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hartford Athletic
33.8%

Draw
31.7%

Rhode Island
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

28.8%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

30%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartford Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Rhode Island has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hartford Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rhode Island than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Hartford Athletic - Rhode Island Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Rhode Island (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rhode Island (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Siaha A. (C) 15. Diz A. 4. Scarlett J. 25. Fischer B. 6. Makangila B. 2. Anderson S. 8. Moreira J. 81. Obalola A. 22. Presthus T. 9. Williams A. 11. Ngalina M.	1. Koke Vegas (C) 22. Scardina N. 24. Yao K. 5. Stoneman G. 3. Sanchez A. 12. Holstad C. 21. Herivaux Z. 17. Kwizera J. 14. Dorsey L. 11. Fuson N. 7. Atkinson D.
Substitutes
17. Anaku S. 10. Careaga S. 1. Carvalho E. (G) 16. Coffey B. 27. Gordon S. 18. Hadjipaschalis C. 20. Hernandez A. 3. Real M.	4. Bacharach Capdevila H. 29. Castro J. (G) 32. Diop H. 8. Leo Afonso 15. Nodarse F. 10. Rodriguez A. 9. Williams J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Moreira J. 🟨,
57', Moreira J. ↓, Careaga S. ↑,
57', Atkinson D. ↓, Leo Afonso ↑,
57', Herivaux Z. ↓, Bacharach Capdevila H. ↑,
57', Obalola A. ↓, Coffey B. ↑,
66', Presthus T. ↓, Real M. ↑,
66', Fuson N. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
66', Dorsey L. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
75', Williams A. ↓, Anaku S. ↑,
82', Stoneman G. ↓, Diop H. ↑,
89', Anaku S. 🟨,
90', Anaku S. 🟨,
90+4', Holstad C. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hartford won 2.

Hartford is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Rhode Island is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rhode Island may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Hartford won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Hartford won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hartford Athletic
USL Championship
18.04.26	Hartford Athletic - Loudoun United	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Hartford Athletic - El Paso Locomotive	0:4 ✺
04.04.26	Miami - Hartford Athletic	0:0 ✺
US Open Cup
01.04.26	Rhode Island - Hartford Athletic	2:0 ✺
USL Championship
28.03.26	Hartford Athletic - Indy Eleven	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLTLT
- Rhode Island FC
USL Championship
22.04.26	Rhode Island - Charleston Battery	4:0 ✺
US Open Cup
14.04.26	New England Revolution - Rhode Island	2:1 penalties ✺
USL Championship
11.04.26	Lexington - Rhode Island	1:3 ✺
04.04.26	Rhode Island - Detroit City	0:0 ✺
US Open Cup
01.04.26	Rhode Island - Hartford Athletic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

US Open Cup
01.04.26	Rhode Island - Hartford Athletic	2:0
USL Championship
23.08.25	Hartford Athletic - Rhode Island	3:0
USL Cup
26.07.25	Rhode Island - Hartford Athletic	2:3 penalties
USL Championship
19.07.25	Rhode Island - Hartford Athletic	0:0
10.08.24	Rhode Island - Hartford Athletic	3:0
01.06.24	Hartford Athletic - Rhode Island	1:1

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