Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Trinity Health Stadium (East Hartford, CT) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ndiaye A. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	20:00	Disney+
Brazil	20:00	Disney+
Chile	20:00	Disney+
Colombia	18:00	Disney+
Mexico	17:00	Disney+
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	18:00	Disney+
Uruguay	20:00	Disney+
Usa	19:00	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	19:00	Disney+


	Hartford Athletic		Rhode Island

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	3.10	2.65
	2.33	3.20	2.65
	2.54	3.40	2.79
	2.5	3.28	2.74	Watch
	2.40	3.15	2.85
	2.49	3.41	2.68	Watch
	2.46	3.20	2.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.62)	3.25 ↑ (3.19)	2.72 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hartford Athletic
37.8%

Draw
28.4%

Rhode Island
33.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.4%

29.1%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

28.9%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartford Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Rhode Island has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rhode Island than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Hartford Athletic - Rhode Island Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Siaha A. (G) 15. Diz A. (C) 4. Scarlett J. 25. Fischer B. 6. Makangila B. 2. Anderson S. 8. Moreira J. 16. Coffey B. 19. Samadia E. 17. Anaku S. 11. Ngalina M.	1. Koke Vegas (C) 22. Scardina N. 24. Yao K. 15. Nodarse F. 3. Sanchez A. 4. Bacharach Capdevila H. 21. Herivaux Z. 17. Kwizera J. 77. Shapiro-Thompson A. 18. Foyo O. 37. Korzeniowski S.
Substitutes
7. Adedokun M. 10. Careaga S. 1. Carvalho E. (G) 27. Gordon S. 5. Njie B. 81. Obalola A. 47. Pearman O. 22. Presthus T. 9. Williams A.	7. Atkinson D. 29. Castro J. (G) 11. Fuson N. 16. Klein E. 8. Leo Afonso 5. Stoneman G. 14. Tsukada Y.
Coaches
Burke B.	Smith K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Yao K. 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Yao K. ⚽, Kwizera J. (A),
45', Coffey B. 🟨,
45', Burke B. 🟨,
45+1', Anaku S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Sanchez A. 🟨,
53', Nodarse F. 🟨,
58', Diz A. ↓, Presthus T. ↑,
58', Coffey B. ↓, Adedokun M. ↑,
66', Moreira J. ↓, Careaga S. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Anaku S. ⚽, Samadia E. (A),
72', Makangila B. 🟨,
75', Herivaux Z. ↓, Leo Afonso ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Samadia E. ⚽, Careaga S. (A),
80', Anaku S. ↓, Obalola A. ↑,
81', Kwizera J. 🟨,
82', Shapiro-Thompson A. ↓, Atkinson D. ↑,
82', Korzeniowski S. ↓, Tsukada Y. ↑,
82', Sanchez A. ↓, Fuson N. ↑,

Preview

Hartford is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs 1/8~finals).

Rhode Island is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs 1/8~finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hartford won 2.

Recent results have been tough for Hartford (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Rhode Island shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Recently, Hartford has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Hartford has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:9 (averaging 0.9:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Hartford against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:1 goals (averaging 1.3:0.3 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Hartford Athletic - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 35.44%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Rhode Island - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 35.44%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hartford Athletic
USL Championship
17.10.26	Hartford Athletic - Brooklyn	2:3 ✺
14.10.26	Hartford Athletic - Charleston Battery	1:1 ✺
10.10.26	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Hartford Athletic	2:1 ✺
USL Cup
04.10.26	Hartford Athletic - Louisville City	0:1 ✺
USL Championship
25.09.26	Hartford Athletic - Louisville City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTLLT
- Rhode Island FC
USL Championship
17.10.26	Rhode Island - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1:1 ✺
14.10.26	Rhode Island - Loudoun United	1:0 ✺
10.10.26	Detroit City - Rhode Island	1:0 ✺
03.10.26	Brooklyn - Rhode Island	1:3 ✺
30.09.26	Rhode Island - Indy Eleven	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
18.07.26	Rhode Island - Hartford Athletic	1:0
USL Cup
25.04.26	Hartford Athletic - Rhode Island	0:0
US Open Cup
01.04.26	Rhode Island - Hartford Athletic	2:0
USL Championship
23.08.25	Hartford Athletic - Rhode Island	3:0
USL Cup
26.07.25	Rhode Island - Hartford Athletic	2:3 penalties
USL Championship
19.07.25	Rhode Island - Hartford Athletic	0:0
10.08.24	Rhode Island - Hartford Athletic	3:0

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