Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Centreville Bank Stadium (Pawtucket, RI)

Referee: Simon N. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Rhode Island		Loudoun United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.8	3.5	3.5
	2	3.45	3.3
	2.04	3.68	3.57
	2.31	3.32	2.98	Watch
	2.01	3.48	3.37	Watch
	2.15	3.4	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.42)	3.47 (3.47)	3.3 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rhode Island
45.2%

Draw
26.7%

Loudoun United
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

26.4%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

25.7%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rhode Island has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rhode Island's performance.

Loudoun United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Loudoun United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rhode Island than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rhode Island that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Loudoun United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rhode Island - Loudoun United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Koke Vegas (G) 4. Bacharach Capdevila H. 24. Yao K. 6. Mabika A. 77. Shapiro-Thompson A. 23. Ybarra M. 36. Corcoran M. 3. Sanchez A. 21. Rodriguez M. 9. Williams J. 11. Fuson N.	23. Fauroux H. (G) 3. Tingey K. 5. Leerman Y. 16. Turner C. 6. Awuah K. 17. Santos P. 12. Skundrich D. 4. McCabe T. 11. Aboukoura A. 14. Ryan Z. 10. Valot F.
Substitutes
7. Atkinson D. 10. Dikwa A. 20. Herivaux Z. 12. Holstad C. 14. Hope-Gund R. 17. Kwizera J. 22. Lee J. (G)	22. Dambrot R. 26. Glasgow O. 30. Jack R. (G) 8. Nyeman M. 9. Ordonez A. 33. Piras L.
Coaches
Smith K.	Martin R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bacharach Capdevila H. ↓, Herivaux Z. ↑,
56', Ryan Z. ↓, Ordonez A. ↑,
56', Santos P. ↓, Glasgow O. ↑,
60', Sanchez A. ↓, Atkinson D. ↑,
60', Fuson N. ↓, Kwizera J. ↑,
70', Skundrich D. 🟨,
76', Shapiro-Thompson A. ↓, Holstad C. ↑,
76', Tingey K. 🟨,
82', Rodriguez M. ↓, Dikwa A. ↑,
90+3', Williams J. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Rhode Island may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Rhode Island might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Rhode Island won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Rhode Island won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rhode Island FC
USL Championship
06.08.25	Rhode Island - Detroit City	1:0 ✺
02.08.25	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Rhode Island	2:0 ✺
USL Cup
26.07.25	Rhode Island - Hartford Athletic	2:3 penalties ✺
USL Championship
19.07.25	Rhode Island - Hartford Athletic	0:0 ✺
12.07.25	Indy Eleven - Rhode Island	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLLTL
- Loudoun United
USL Championship
01.08.25	Tulsa - Loudoun United	3:2 ✺
USL Cup
26.07.25	North Carolina - Loudoun United	2:1 penalties ✺
USL Championship
19.07.25	Loudoun United - Oakland Roots	0:2 ✺
13.07.25	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Loudoun United	2:2 ✺
03.07.25	Loudoun United - Orange County SC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
29.03.25	Loudoun United - Rhode Island	2:0
13.10.24	Rhode Island - Loudoun United	0:0
24.08.24	Loudoun United - Rhode Island	0:0

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