Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Centreville Bank Stadium (Pawtucket, RI)

Referee: Dopka G. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Rhode Island		Pittsburgh Riverhounds

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.68	3.25	4.6
	1.82	3.2	4.6
	1.92	3.29	4.45
	1.85	3.29	4.51	Watch
	1.82	3.63	4.13	Watch
	1.82	3.2	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.95)	3.31 ↑ (2.98)	4.48 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rhode Island
51.1%

Draw
28.1%

Pittsburgh Riverhounds
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

31%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

29.8%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rhode Island has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rhode Island's performance.

Pittsburgh Riverhounds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pittsburgh Riverhounds might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rhode Island than the current prediction. (-18.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rhode Island that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Riverhounds than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pittsburgh Riverhounds could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rhode Island - Pittsburgh Riverhounds Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rhode Island (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Rhode Island (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Rhode Island (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Koke Vegas (C) 5. Stoneman G. 6. Mabika A. 15. Nodarse F. 3. Sanchez A. 12. Holstad C. 20. Herivaux Z. 17. Kwizera J. 21. Rodriguez M. 11. Fuson N. 10. Dikwa A.	1. Dick E. (G) 3. Barnes P. 16. Ydrach R. 5. Suber S. 23. Vacter G. 13. Biasi L. 42. Walti J. 14. Mertz R. (C) 2. Griffin D. 10. Jacquesson B. 9. Williams A.
Substitutes
18. Brito J. 16. Dewhurst C. 14. Hope-Gund R. 22. Lee J. (G) 8. Okiyoshi T. 77. Shapiro-Thompson A. 24. Yao K.	12. Ahl C. 20. Bouregy J. 6. Broughton M. 18. Garcia J. 4. O’Toole A. 31. Randolph J. (G) 15. Sample B.
Coaches
Smith K.	Lilley B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Ydrach R. 🟨,
29', Walti J. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Griffin D. ⚽,
40', Sanchez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Herivaux Z. 🟨,
73', Dikwa A. ↓, Brito J. ↑,
73', Sanchez A. ↓, Shapiro-Thompson A. ↑,
76', Jacquesson B. ↓, Sample B. ↑,
76', Mertz R. ↓, Ahl C. ↑,
82', Herivaux Z. ↓, Okiyoshi T. ↑,
82', Mabika A. ↓, Hope-Gund R. ↑,
83', Biasi L. 🟨,
87', Griffin D. 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).

Rhode Island has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pittsburgh has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Rhode Island may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Rhode Island is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Rhode Island won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Including home match between the teams, Rhode Island won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Rhode Island - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 31.31%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rhode Island FC
USL Championship
17.05.25	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Rhode Island	0:3 ✺
14.05.25	Birmingham Legion - Rhode Island	0:1 ✺
10.05.25	Rhode Island - Monterey Bay	1:1 ✺
US Open Cup
07.05.25	Rhode Island - New England Revolution	1:2 ✺
USL Championship
03.05.25	Rhode Island - San Antonio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWTLT
- Pittsburgh Riverhounds
US Open Cup
21.05.25	Philadelphia Union - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	4:1 ✺
USL Championship
17.05.25	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1:0 ✺
10.05.25	Louisville City - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0:0 ✺
US Open Cup
07.05.25	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - New York City	1:0 ✺
USL Championship
03.05.25	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - North Carolina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
07.09.24	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Rhode Island	2:0
13.04.24	Rhode Island - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0:0

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