The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rhode Island 49.9%
Draw 29.2%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 20.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
51.9%
27.1%
21%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.3%
28.9%
19.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rhode Island has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Pittsburgh Riverhounds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rhode Island than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rhode Island, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pittsburgh Riverhounds than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Rhode Island - Pittsburgh Riverhounds Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Koke Vegas (C) 22. Scardina N. 24. Yao K. 15. Nodarse F. 3. Sanchez A. 21. Herivaux Z. 4. Bacharach Capdevila H. 17. Kwizera J. 11. Fuson N. 8. Leo Afonso 18. Foyo O.
1. Campuzano N. (G) 3. Barnes P. 5. Souza V. 6. Mikoy O. 28. Osumanu I. (C) 42. Walti J. 14. Mertz R. 2. Griffin D. 10. Ahl C. 7. Amann T. 19. Bassett S.
Substitutes
7. Atkinson D. 29. Castro J. (G) 16. Klein E. 37. Korzeniowski S. 30. Medina K. 2. Rovira D. 77. Shapiro-Thompson A. 5. Stoneman G.
8. Etou B. 37. Goldthorp E. 15. Sample B. 24. Sheridan M. (G) 36. Tsukanome Y. 23. Vacter G. 16. Ydrach R.
Coaches
Smith K.
Vincent R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Yao K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Leo Afonso (Penalty Awarded),
62', Amann T. ↓, Goldthorp E. ↑,
67', Fuson N. ↓, Korzeniowski S. ↑,
67', Herivaux Z. ↓, Shapiro-Thompson A. ↑,
73', Ahl C. ↓, Etou B. ↑,
73', Bassett S. ↓, Tsukanome Y. ↑,
73', Sanchez A. ↓, Atkinson D. ↑,
74', 1 - 0, Foyo O. ⚽, Scardina N. (A),
81', Osumanu I. ↓, Ydrach R. ↑,
82', Leo Afonso ↓, Klein E. ↑,
82', Foyo O. ↓, Stoneman G. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 1, Goldthorp E. ⚽, Walti J. (A),
Preview
Rhode Island is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs 1/8~finals).
Pittsburgh is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs 1/8~finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rhode Island won 2.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Pittsburgh could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Rhode Island carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Rhode Island has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:6 (averaging 0.3:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Rhode Island against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals (averaging 0:0.5 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Rhode Island - the odds 1.79 are the expected chance of winning is 51.92%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.