Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 30 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Centreville Bank Stadium (Pawtucket, RI)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Usa	CBS Sports Network, ESPN 2, ESPN+, KDKA+, NESN


	Rhode Island		Indy Eleven

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.78	3.50	3.70
	1.78	3.50	3.70
	1.94	3.91	3.73
	1.85	3.97	3.61	Watch
	1.84	4.10	3.55
	1.83	4.14	3.85	Watch
	1.88	3.55	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.68)	3.81 ↑ (3.6)	3.67 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rhode Island
50.4%

Draw
24.4%

Indy Eleven
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

24.9%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

24%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rhode Island has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Indy Eleven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rhode Island than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Rhode Island - Indy Eleven Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Castro J. (G) 5. Stoneman G. (C) 24. Yao K. 15. Nodarse F. 3. Sanchez A. 4. Bacharach Capdevila H. 21. Herivaux Z. 18. Foyo O. 8. Leo Afonso 14. Tsukada Y. 37. Korzeniowski S.	1. Dick E. (G) 36. Kibunguchy N. 21. Rasheed M. 37. Craig P. 29. Mitrano A. 13. Hafferty J. 5. O'Brien J. 14. Quinn A. (C) 8. Blake J. 15. Henry-Scott M. 90. Mesanvi L.
Substitutes
100. DiLoreto N. (G) 16. Klein E. 30. Medina K. 27. Pierre N. 2. Rovira D. 22. Scardina N. 77. Shapiro-Thompson A. 25. Williams C.	39. Barry H. 23. Charles-Cook R. (G) 4. Herbert A. 19. Kizza E. 6. Lindley C. 70. Lowden T. 20. Sing D.
Coaches
Smith K.	McAuley S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Korzeniowski S. ⚽, Foyo O. (A),
39', Yao K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Herivaux Z. ↓, Shapiro-Thompson A. ↑,
63', Mitrano A. 🟨,
71', O'Brien J. ↓, Kizza E. ↑,
72', Blake J. ↓, Barry H. ↑,
73', Tsukada Y. ↓, Scardina N. ↑,
73', Foyo O. ↓, Klein E. ↑,
77', Bacharach Capdevila H. 🟨,
77', Quinn A. 🟨,
81', Smith K. 🟨,
81', Quinn A. ↓, Lindley C. ↑,
83', Leo Afonso 🟨,
85', McAuley S. 🟨,
90+1', Leo Afonso ↓, Pierre N. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rhode Island won 2.

Rhode Island is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Indy has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Recently, Indy has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Rhode Island holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Rhode Island has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:8 (averaging 1.2:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Rhode Island against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 4:3 goals (averaging 2:1.5 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rhode Island FC
USL Championship
26.09.26	Charleston Battery - Rhode Island	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Rhode Island - Miami	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Rhode Island	0:3 ✺
05.09.26	Rhode Island - Louisville City	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Tulsa - Rhode Island	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWTL
- Indy Eleven
USL Championship
26.09.26	Indy Eleven - Miami	0:2 ✺
20.09.26	Indy Eleven - Oakland Roots	0:1 ✺
15.09.26	Indy Eleven - Brooklyn	4:0 ✺
11.09.26	New Mexico United - Indy Eleven	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	Indy Eleven - Birmingham Legion	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
30.05.26	Indy Eleven - Rhode Island	1:0
13.09.25	Rhode Island - Indy Eleven	1:0
12.07.25	Indy Eleven - Rhode Island	1:0
03.11.24	Indy Eleven - Rhode Island	2:3
07.08.24	Indy Eleven - Rhode Island	1:0
05.07.24	Rhode Island - Indy Eleven	3:3

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