Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League South Division - Round 40

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday


	Poole Town		Beaconsfield Town

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.75	2.5
	2.25	3.75	2.6
	2.29	4.17	2.52
	2.29	4.17	2.53
	2.31	3.81	2.59
	2.25	3.75	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.16)	3.9 ↑ (3.82)	2.56 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poole Town
40.5%

Draw
23.5%

Beaconsfield Town
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

24.2%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

23.5%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poole Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Beaconsfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poole Town than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beaconsfield Town than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Holmes T. (Pen),
39', 2 - 0, Holmes T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 3 - 0, Holmes T. ⚽,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Poole won 3.

Poole is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Beaconsfield is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Beaconsfield could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Poole have a series of home games.

Poole will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Poole won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Poole won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Poole Town
English Southern League South Division
09.04.24	Poole Town - Winchester City	2:1 ✺
06.04.24	Poole Town - Merthyr Town	1:3 ✺
01.04.24	Plymouth Parkway - Poole Town	1:0 ✺
29.03.24	Poole Town - Totton	0:0 ✺
26.03.24	Poole Town - Hungerford Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLTL
- Beaconsfield Town
English Southern League South Division
06.04.24	Harrow Borough - Beaconsfield Town	2:1 ✺
02.04.24	Beaconsfield Town - Hanwell Town	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Hendon - Beaconsfield Town	4:5 ✺
23.03.24	Totton - Beaconsfield Town	3:0 ✺
16.03.24	Beaconsfield Town - Dorchester Town	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
04.11.23	Beaconsfield Town - Poole Town	1:3
18.02.23	Poole Town - Beaconsfield Town	2:2
01.10.22	Beaconsfield Town - Poole Town	0:2
11.12.21	Beaconsfield Town - Poole Town	2:1
02.10.21	Poole Town - Beaconsfield Town	2:0
19.09.20	Beaconsfield Town - Poole Town	1:2
10.03.20	Poole Town - Beaconsfield Town	3:1

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