Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 27

Date: 7 January 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Hartley Wintney		Dorchester Town

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.25	2.4
	2.5	3.4	2.4
	2.63	3.41	2.51
	2.55	3.45	2.43
	2.5	3.4	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (3.17)	3.38 ↓ (3.4)	2.44 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hartley Wintney
35.8%

Draw
26.9%

Dorchester Town
37.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.6%

26.6%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

26.7%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartley Wintney has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hartley Wintney's performance.

Dorchester Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dorchester Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartley Wintney than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hartley Wintney that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorchester Town than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dorchester Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hartley Wintney - Dorchester Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hartley Wintney won 3.

Hartley Wintney is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Dorchester is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dorchester will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Hartley Wintney won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Hartley Wintney won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hartley Wintney
English Southern League South Division
02.01.23	Bracknell Town - Hartley Wintney	5:0 ✺
26.12.22	Hartley Wintney - Gosport Borough	3:1 ✺
07.12.22	Harrow Borough - Hartley Wintney	1:0 ✺
03.12.22	Weston-super-Mare - Hartley Wintney	4:0 ✺
26.11.22	Hartley Wintney - Merthyr Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLLL
- Dorchester Town
English Southern League South Division
02.01.23	Dorchester Town - Yate Town	2:0 ✺
26.12.22	Poole Town - Dorchester Town	3:0 ✺
17.12.22	Dorchester Town - Truro City	1:0 ✺
03.12.22	Dorchester Town - Chesham United	1:3 ✺
26.11.22	Winchester City - Dorchester Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
27.08.22	Dorchester Town - Hartley Wintney	4:2
12.02.22	Hartley Wintney - Dorchester Town	1:0
19.10.21	Dorchester Town - Hartley Wintney	3:2
01.02.20	Hartley Wintney - Dorchester Town	2:0
31.08.19	Dorchester Town - Hartley Wintney	2:3
27.04.19	Hartley Wintney - Dorchester Town	3:1
01.09.18	Dorchester Town - Hartley Wintney	2:1

Hartley Wintney - Dorchester Town

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Hartley Wintney - Dorchester Town Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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