Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 21

Date: 26 November 2022, Saturday


	Hartley Wintney		Merthyr Town

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	2.85
	2.06	3.6	2.8
	2.05	3.72	2.76
	2.12	3.58	2.92
	2.1	3.75	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.1)	3.61 ↑ (3.49)	2.84 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hartley Wintney
43.2%

Draw
25%

Merthyr Town
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

25.8%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

25.2%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartley Wintney has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Merthyr Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartley Wintney than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Hartley Wintney - Merthyr Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Hartley Wintney could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Merthyr have a series of guest games.

Hartley Wintney will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hartley Wintney won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Hartley Wintney won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hartley Wintney
English Southern League South Division
22.11.22	Hartley Wintney - Salisbury	1:3 ✺
19.11.22	Hayes & Yeading United - Hartley Wintney	1:2 ✺
12.11.22	Tiverton Town - Hartley Wintney	1:0 ✺
05.11.22	Hartley Wintney - Hanwell Town	2:1 ✺
01.11.22	Metropolitan Police - Hartley Wintney	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWLWL
- Merthyr Town
English Southern League South Division
19.11.22	Tiverton Town - Merthyr Town	2:2 ✺
15.11.22	Hendon - Merthyr Town	1:1 ✺
12.11.22	Merthyr Town - Weston-super-Mare	2:3 ✺
08.11.22	Hanwell Town - Merthyr Town	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
05.11.22	Buxton - Merthyr Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
15.01.22	Hartley Wintney - Merthyr Town	1:0
14.08.21	Merthyr Town - Hartley Wintney	2:2
30.11.19	Merthyr Town - Hartley Wintney	3:2
29.09.18	Hartley Wintney - Merthyr Town	1:1
English FA Cup
26.09.15	Merthyr Town - Hartley Wintney	0:1

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