Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 24

Date: 17 December 2022, Saturday


	Dorchester Town		Truro City

	1	X	2
	4.8	3.8	1.55
	4.7	3.95	1.56
	4.78	4.2	1.58
	4	3.75	1.67
	5	4.05	1.55
	5	4	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.71 ↑ (3.99)	3.96 ↑ (3.75)	1.58 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dorchester Town
19.3%

Draw
23%

Truro City
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

23.9%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

23%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dorchester Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Truro City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorchester Town than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Dorchester Town - Truro City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League South Division (Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dorchester won 0.

Recent matches Dorchester is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Truro is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dorchester could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Truro is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Dorchester won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 5-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Dorchester won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dorchester Town
English Southern League South Division
03.12.22	Dorchester Town - Chesham United	1:3 ✺
26.11.22	Winchester City - Dorchester Town	1:1 ✺
12.11.22	Hendon - Dorchester Town	0:0 ✺
05.11.22	Dorchester Town - Metropolitan Police	1:0 ✺
29.10.22	Dorchester Town - Salisbury	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LTTWW
- Truro City
English Southern League South Division
07.12.22	Truro City - Beaconsfield Town	1:1 ✺
03.12.22	Truro City - Harrow Borough	2:1 ✺
26.11.22	Chesham United - Truro City	3:1 ✺
19.11.22	Truro City - Winchester City	3:0 ✺
12.11.22	Metropolitan Police - Truro City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
13.08.22	Truro City - Dorchester Town	4:0
25.01.22	Dorchester Town - Truro City	1:1
23.11.21	Truro City - Dorchester Town	1:0
11.01.20	Dorchester Town - Truro City	2:3
13.08.19	Truro City - Dorchester Town	3:0
English Southern Premier League
24.01.15	Truro City - Dorchester Town	2:1
09.09.14	Dorchester Town - Truro City	1:2

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