Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 25

Date: 25 March 2025, Tuesday


	Hastings United		Canvey Island

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.3	2.5
	2.39	3.45	2.55
	3.12	3.2	2.27
	2.34	3.6	2.62	Watch
	2.45	3.4	2.45
	2.29	3.5	2.58
	2.39	3.45	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.49)	3.41 ↓ (3.52)	2.5 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hastings United
36.8%

Draw
26.7%

Canvey Island
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

25.9%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

25.2%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hastings United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Canvey Island has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hastings United than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canvey Island than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	44.4%	44.4%

Hastings United - Canvey Island Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Hastings will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Canvey Island will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Canvey Island: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Rodari D. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
81', 1 - 1, Santos-Hurtado J. ⚽,
88', Harris C. 🟨,
90+7', 🟥,
90+7', Salmon J. 🟥,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 16).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Canvey Island could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hastings won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:7 (average 0.6:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Hastings won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Canvey Island - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 37.56%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hastings United
English Isthmian League Premier Division
22.03.25	Hastings United - Chichester City	0:2 ✺
15.03.25	Dartford - Hastings United	2:0 ✺
11.03.25	Hastings United - Wingate & Finchley	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Hastings United - Hendon	2:0 ✺
04.03.25	Chatham Town - Hastings United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLWL
- Canvey Island
English Isthmian League Premier Division
22.03.25	Potters Bar Town - Canvey Island	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Canvey Island - Lewes	4:0 ✺
08.03.25	Cray Wanderers - Canvey Island	3:1 ✺
01.03.25	Canvey Island - Dover Athletic	0:0 ✺
22.02.25	Whitehawk - Canvey Island	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
27.04.24	Canvey Island - Hastings United	0:0
25.11.23	Hastings United - Canvey Island	0:2
25.03.23	Canvey Island - Hastings United	3:1
06.12.22	Hastings United - Canvey Island	1:1
20.04.13	Canvey Island - Hastings United	1:1

Hastings United - Canvey Island: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide