Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 32

Date: 11 March 2025, Tuesday


	Hastings United		Wingate & Finchley

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.4	2.1
	3.1	3.55	2.02
	3.3	3.75	1.99
	3.23	3.67	1.98	Watch
	3.1	3.6	2.05
	3.24	3.5	1.98
	3.1	3.55	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.83)	3.57 ↓ (3.64)	2.02 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hastings United
29.2%

Draw
25.6%

Wingate & Finchley
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

25%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

24.4%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hastings United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Wingate & Finchley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hastings United than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wingate & Finchley than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Hastings United - Wingate & Finchley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Newton Z. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+2', 0 - 2, Bello O. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Hastings has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Wingate & Finchley is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hastings could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hastings won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:8 (average 2:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Hastings won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1.5:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Hastings United - the odds 2.83 are the expected chance of winning is 32.27%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hastings United
English Isthmian League Premier Division
08.03.25	Hastings United - Hendon	2:0 ✺
04.03.25	Chatham Town - Hastings United	2:0 ✺
01.03.25	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Hastings United	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Hastings United - Dulwich Hamlet	0:0 ✺
08.02.25	Cheshunt - Hastings United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLTTL
- Wingate & Finchley
English Isthmian League Premier Division
08.03.25	Horsham - Wingate & Finchley	1:2 ✺
01.03.25	Wingate & Finchley - Whitehawk	3:1 ✺
15.02.25	Bowers & Pitsea - Wingate & Finchley	0:6 ✺
11.02.25	Potters Bar Town - Wingate & Finchley	0:0 ✺
08.02.25	Wingate & Finchley - Dover Athletic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
09.11.24	Wingate & Finchley - Hastings United	2:1
09.04.24	Wingate & Finchley - Hastings United	2:2
14.10.23	Hastings United - Wingate & Finchley	2:3
04.03.23	Hastings United - Wingate & Finchley	1:1
18.10.22	Wingate & Finchley - Hastings United	0:4

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