Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 21

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday


	Wingate & Finchley		Carshalton Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.45	3
	2.15	3.65	2.88
	2.1	3.81	2.86	Watch
	2.09	3.48	2.98
	2.14	3.66	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2.05)	3.61 ↓ (3.65)	2.91 ↓ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wingate & Finchley
43.4%

Draw
25.3%

Carshalton Athletic
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

25.2%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

25.3%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wingate & Finchley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Carshalton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wingate & Finchley than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carshalton Athletic than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Wingate & Finchley - Carshalton Athletic Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 1 - 0, Jambang A. ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, Ifeanyi S. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 2, (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+3', 2 - 2, Cue A. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wingate & Finchley won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Carshalton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Wingate & Finchley might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Wingate & Finchley won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:22. (average 2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Wingate & Finchley won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:4. (average 2.1:0.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Wingate & Finchley - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 44.9%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wingate & Finchley
English Isthmian League Premier Division
29.11.25	Wingate & Finchley - Billericay Town	2:2 ✺
25.11.25	Wingate & Finchley - Folkestone Invicta	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Aveley - Wingate & Finchley	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Wingate & Finchley - Lewes	3:0 ✺
11.11.25	Dulwich Hamlet - Wingate & Finchley	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TLLWW
- Carshalton Athletic
English Isthmian League Premier Division
29.11.25	Carshalton Athletic - Cray Valley Paper Mills	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	St Albans City - Carshalton Athletic	2:1 ✺
15.11.25	Carshalton Athletic - Aveley	1:1 ✺
11.11.25	Lewes - Carshalton Athletic	2:3 ✺
08.11.25	Canvey Island - Carshalton Athletic	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
05.11.24	Wingate & Finchley - Carshalton Athletic	2:1
12.08.24	Carshalton Athletic - Wingate & Finchley	3:2
27.04.24	Wingate & Finchley - Carshalton Athletic	3:0
25.11.23	Carshalton Athletic - Wingate & Finchley	2:3
22.04.23	Carshalton Athletic - Wingate & Finchley	3:1
21.02.23	Wingate & Finchley - Carshalton Athletic	3:0
19.02.22	Carshalton Athletic - Wingate & Finchley	2:0

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