Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 34

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday

Location: The Fusion Aviation Community Stadium (Horsham)


	Horsham		Wingate & Finchley

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.2	5.75
	1.42	4.3	6.2
	1.44	4.5	6.4
	1.42	4.39	6.34
	1.67	3.75	4
	1.4	4.2	6.8
	1.42	4.3	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.63)	4.23 ↑ (3.9)	5.96 ↑ (4.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Horsham
63%

Draw
21.6%

Wingate & Finchley
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

23.3%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

22.4%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Horsham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Horsham's performance.

Wingate & Finchley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wingate & Finchley might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Horsham than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wingate & Finchley than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Horsham - Wingate & Finchley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Restrepo C. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, Meekums R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
68', 1 - 2, Alexandrou T. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Horsham won 2.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Horsham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Horsham is indisputable favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Horsham won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:10 (average 1.3:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Horsham won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:2 (average 1.8:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Horsham FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
01.03.25	Dartford - Horsham	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	Horsham - Cray Valley Paper Mills	2:1 ✺
15.02.25	Horsham - Chatham Town	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Whitehawk - Horsham	1:2 ✺
04.02.25	Horsham - Hastings United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWTWW
- Wingate & Finchley
English Isthmian League Premier Division
01.03.25	Wingate & Finchley - Whitehawk	3:1 ✺
15.02.25	Bowers & Pitsea - Wingate & Finchley	0:6 ✺
11.02.25	Potters Bar Town - Wingate & Finchley	0:0 ✺
08.02.25	Wingate & Finchley - Dover Athletic	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	Chichester City - Wingate & Finchley	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
23.11.24	Wingate & Finchley - Horsham	0:1
10.02.24	Horsham - Wingate & Finchley	1:1
17.10.23	Wingate & Finchley - Horsham	2:0
18.02.23	Horsham - Wingate & Finchley	2:0
20.09.22	Wingate & Finchley - Horsham	2:2
19.03.22	Wingate & Finchley - Horsham	3:0
30.11.21	Horsham - Wingate & Finchley	2:0

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