The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hatayspor 56.4%
Draw 24%
Altay 19.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.2%
25.4%
23.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.3%
24.9%
22.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hatayspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hatayspor's performance.
Altay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hatayspor than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altay than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
86.7%
10%
3.3%
Hatayspor - Altay Predictions
Users Predictions:
Hatayspor will win
(26 of 30 users predict this - 86.67%). Confidence interval (95%): 74.51% – 98.83%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
Hatayspor has the most likely position - 11 (15.79%), has project points - 54, has currently - 49, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for ucl.
Altay has the most likely position - 18 (43.26%), has project points - 34, has currently - 30, has a very good chance of relegated (>99%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.
This event has quality31, very small importance0, small match rating15. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Hatayspor won 2.
Hatayspor is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Altay has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
In this match Hatayspor is a favorite.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Hatayspor won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Hatayspor won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.