Match Info

Super Lig - Round 37

Date: 26 May 2025, Monday

Location: Mersin Stadyumu (Mersin)

Referee: Arslan Y. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	SuperSport 1
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Asia	TOD
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Free
Kosovo	ART Sport 2
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV7
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-america	ESPN 5 South
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	Disney+


	Hatayspor		Fenerbahçe

	1	X	2
	8	6.25	1.27	Watch
	9.25	6.75	1.24
	9.22	6.57	1.25	Watch
	8.66	6.83	1.26
	8.3	6.58	1.29
	9.5	6.5	1.25
	8.65	6.65	1.28	Watch
	11.25	7.8	1.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.1 ↑ (8.25)	6.74 ↑ (6.31)	1.26 ↓ (1.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hatayspor
10.4%

Draw
14.1%

Fenerbahçe
75.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.4%

14.9%

73.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hatayspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Hatayspor - Fenerbahçe Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Hatayspor will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fenerbahçe: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Hatayspor (votes: 2 - 20%). Fenerbahçe (votes: 7 - 70%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Hatayspor (4.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Hatayspor (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Fenerbahçe (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Bekaj V. (G) 2. Corekci K. (C) 15. Yilmaz R. B. 3. Kilama G. 27. Demir C. 88. Sertel C. 8. Massanga Matondo 6. Parmak A. 5. Saglam G. 11. Okoronkwo J. 98. Boutobba B.	54. Cetin E. (G) 37. Skriniar M. 6. Djiku A. 16. Muldur M. 34. Amrabat S. 70. Aydin O. 94. Talisca 10. Tadic D. (C) 18. Kostic F. 19. En Nesyri Y. 9. Dzeko E.
Substitutes
94. Aksoy D. 22. Alici K. 7. Bamgboye F. 95. Buz Y. A. 17. Diack L. 77. Fernandes J. 34. Saricali D. (G) 23. Sarka B. 16. Temel S. 25. Yildiz A.	95. Akcicek Y. 57. Biterge E. (G) 1. Egribayat I. (G) 17. Kahveci I. C. 22. Mercan L. 21. Osayi-Samuel B. 4. Soyuncu C. 53. Szymanski S. 23. Tosun C. 5. Yuksek I.
Coaches
Sahin M.	Mourinho J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, En Nesyri Y. ⚽,
38', Muldur M. 🟥,
44', 1 - 1, Cetin E. (Own goal),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
53', 2 - 1, Boutobba B. ⚽,
63', 3 - 1, Saglam G. (Pen),
63', Tadic D. ↓, Szymanski S. ↑,
63', En Nesyri Y. ↓, Kahveci I. C. ↑,
63', Aydin O. ↓, Osayi-Samuel B. ↑,
64', Sertel C. ↓, Fernandes J. ↑,
66', 4 - 1, Okoronkwo J. ⚽, Saglam G. (A),
69', Amrabat S. 🟨,
69', Corekci K. 🟨,
72', Amrabat S. ↓, Yuksek I. ↑,
74', Corekci K. ↓, Alici K. ↑,
75', Massanga Matondo ↓, Diack L. ↑,
76', Dzeko E. ↓, Tosun C. ↑,
82', Yuksek I. 🟨,
84', Parmak A. ↓, Bamgboye F. ↑,
84', Boutobba B. ↓, Yildiz A. ↑,
90+4', 4 - 2, Kahveci I. C. ⚽, Talisca (A),

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

Hatayspor is Relegated to 1. Lig

Fenerbahçe is Qualified for Champions League (Qualification )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hatayspor won 0.

Recent form of Hatayspor has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fenerbahçe is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Fenerbahçe is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Hatayspor: Rui Pedro (Injury)

There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Oosterwolde J. (Knee Injury) Rodrigo Becao (Knee Injury) Saint-Maximin A. (Injury) Yandas M. (Knock)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Hatayspor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 5:18. (average 0.6:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Hatayspor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hatayspor
Turkish Super League
17.05.25	Adana Demirspor - Hatayspor	0:5 ✺
11.05.25	Göztepe - Hatayspor	1:1 ✺
03.05.25	Hatayspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	2:4 ✺
25.04.25	Beşiktaş - Hatayspor	5:1 ✺
18.04.25	Hatayspor - Konyaspor	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTLLL
- Fenerbahçe
Turkish Super League
18.05.25	Fenerbahçe - Eyüpspor	2:1 ✺
09.05.25	İstanbul Başakşehir - Fenerbahçe	1:4 ✺
04.05.25	Fenerbahçe - Beşiktaş	0:1 ✺
26.04.25	Gaziantep - Fenerbahçe	1:3 ✺
20.04.25	Fenerbahçe - Kayserispor	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
05.01.25	Fenerbahçe - Hatayspor	2:1
02.03.24	Hatayspor - Fenerbahçe	0:2
22.10.23	Fenerbahçe - Hatayspor	4:2
27.12.22	Fenerbahçe - Hatayspor	4:0
20.02.22	Fenerbahçe - Hatayspor	2:0
26.09.21	Hatayspor - Fenerbahçe	1:2
02.02.21	Hatayspor - Fenerbahçe	1:2

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