Match Info

Date: 27 April 2021, Tuesday


	Hatayspor		Gençlerbirliği

	1	X	2
	1.7	4	4.2	Watch
	1.72	3.9	4.25
	1.67	4.1	4.35	Watch
	1.75	3.85	4
	1.87	3.98	4.11
	1.7	3.8	4.5	Watch
	1.77	4.1	4.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.59)	3.96 ↓ (4.22)	4.22 ↓ (5.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hatayspor
54%

Draw
23.7%

Gençlerbirliği
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

22.2%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

13.6%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hatayspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Gençlerbirliği has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hatayspor than the current prediction. (-17.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hatayspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gençlerbirliği than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gençlerbirliği could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60.3%	6.3%	33.3%

Hatayspor - Gençlerbirliği Predictions

Users Predictions: 63 users predict this event. Hatayspor will win (votes: 38 - 60.3%). Gençlerbirliği will win (votes: 21 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hatayspor: 48.2% – 72.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 and 20 in the zone Relegation to 1. Lig).

Hatayspor has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for ucl.

Gençlerbirliği has a good chance of relegated (83%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Gençlerbirliği could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hatayspor is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Hatayspor won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Hatayspor won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hatayspor
Turkish Super League
24.04.21	Konyaspor - Hatayspor	0:0 ✺
20.04.21	Hatayspor - Antalyaspor	3:2 ✺
17.04.21	Trabzonspor - Hatayspor	1:1 ✺
10.04.21	Hatayspor - Göztepe	2:3 ✺
06.04.21	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Hatayspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWTLL
- Gençlerbirliği
Turkish Super League
23.04.21	Gençlerbirliği - Çaykur Rizespor	2:1 ✺
20.04.21	Kayserispor - Gençlerbirliği	2:2 ✺
16.04.21	Gençlerbirliği - Sivasspor	2:3 ✺
11.04.21	Ankaragücü - Gençlerbirliği	2:1 ✺
07.04.21	Gençlerbirliği - Erzurumspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
06.01.21	Gençlerbirliği - Hatayspor	3:1
Club Friendly
18.07.19	Gençlerbirliği - Hatayspor	2:1
Turkish First League
20.01.19	Hatayspor - Gençlerbirliği	3:1
Turkish Cup
20.12.18	Hatayspor - Gençlerbirliği	2:0
04.12.18	Gençlerbirliği - Hatayspor	2:1
Turkish First League
12.08.18	Gençlerbirliği - Hatayspor	1:0

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