Match Info

IRAN: Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 21

Date: 28 February 2025, Friday

Location: Shahid Dastgerdi Stadium (Tehran)


	Havadar		Gol Gohar Sirjan

	1	X	2
	4.5	2.65	1.93
	4.84	2.73	1.93
	4.91	2.78	1.91	Watch
	4.8	2.7	1.91
	5.7	2.72	1.9	Watch
	4.5	2.65	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.88 ↑ (4)	2.71 ↑ (2.61)	1.92 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Havadar
18.7%

Draw
33.7%

Gol Gohar Sirjan
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

36.1%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

36%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Havadar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Gol Gohar Sirjan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gol Gohar Sirjan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Havadar than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gol Gohar Sirjan than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gol Gohar Sirjan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Havadar - Gol Gohar Sirjan Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Gol Gohar Sirjan will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	1. Akhbari M. (G)
	4. Alizadeh A.
	18. Ashouri A.
	34. Fakhreddini M.
	13. Kamolov A.
	23. Kazemi A.
	99. Latififar P.
	5. Ndong O.
	2. Razzaghpour A.
	10. Tikdari M.
	26. Zahedi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Tikdari M. ⚽, Kazemi A. (A),
42', Millar M. ↓, Mahdavi M. ↑,
42', Ahmadi M. ↓, Daryabari M. ↑,
45', Eslami K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Mohebi S. 🟨,
53', Fakhreddini M. 🟨,
53', Zahedi M. 🟨,
57', Zavari M. 🟨,
68', Kamolov A. ↓, Bocoum E. ↑,
73', Ashouri A. ↓, Gustavo ↑,
77', Latififar P. ↓, Akvan A. ↑,
77', Fakhreddini M. ↓, Majid E. ↑,
83', Kazemi A. ↓, Kazemayni M. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Azadegan League and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Havadar won 1.

Havadar is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Gol Gohar Sirjan is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gol Gohar Sirjan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gol Gohar Sirjan is absolute favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Havadar won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:13 (average 1.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Havadar won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1.4:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Havadar SC
Iran Pro League
21.02.25	Foolad Khuzestan - Havadar	3:0 ✺
08.02.25	Havadar - Aluminium Arak	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	Tractor Sazi - Havadar	4:0 ✺
27.01.25	Havadar - Zob Ahan	0:0 ✺
20.01.25	Kheybar Khorramabad - Havadar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LWLTL
- Gol Gohar Sirjan
Iran Pro League
20.02.25	Gol Gohar Sirjan - Mes Rafsanjan	0:0 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
14.02.25	Gol Gohar Sirjan - Kheybar Khorramabad	1:0 penalties ✺
Iran Pro League
08.02.25	Persepolis - Gol Gohar Sirjan	1:0 ✺
01.02.25	Gol Gohar Sirjan - Nassaji Mazandaran	2:1 ✺
25.01.25	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Gol Gohar Sirjan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
27.09.24	Gol Gohar Sirjan - Havadar	0:0
12.04.24	Havadar - Gol Gohar Sirjan	1:0
28.10.23	Gol Gohar Sirjan - Havadar	3:3
23.04.23	Havadar - Gol Gohar Sirjan	1:1
19.12.22	Gol Gohar Sirjan - Havadar	2:1
29.05.22	Havadar - Gol Gohar Sirjan	0:2
08.01.22	Gol Gohar Sirjan - Havadar	1:0

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