Match Info

IRAN: Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 17

Date: 27 January 2025, Monday

Location: Shahid Dastgerdi Stadium (Tehran)


	Havadar		Zob Ahan

	1	X	2
	4.1	2.95	1.93
	3.8	2.65	1.91
	3.66	2.95	2
	4.4	3.11	1.86
	4.33	2.9	1.91
	4.96	3.16	1.77
	3.8	2.65	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.15 ↓ (5.42)	2.91 ↓ (3.31)	1.9 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Havadar
21.7%

Draw
30.9%

Zob Ahan
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.9%

27.7%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.3%

26.7%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Havadar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Zob Ahan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zob Ahan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Havadar than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Havadar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zob Ahan than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zob Ahan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	28.6%	42.9%

Havadar - Zob Ahan Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Havadar will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Zob Ahan will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Kia M. (G) 6. Mohebi S. 23. Mahdavi M. 66. Khodaei M. 5. Gholamalibeigi S. 8. Masoumi M. E. 4. Haghdoost M. 26. Champness J. 88. Goudarzi M. 99. Eslami K. 10. Mamizadeh M.	1. Jafari P. (G) 40. Gerami F. 4. Qureshi M. 5. Soleimanzadeh R. 69. Mosleh S. 71. Taherkhani H. 6. Yousefi F. 23. Azarpad M. 14. Mokhtari P. 7. Aliyari M. 10. Tabrizi M.
Substitutes
1. Akhbar Monadi H. (G) 70. Asadi A. 22. Daryabari M. . Jafari Y. 44. Millar M. 67. Rahmani E. . Rahmati K. 47. Sadeghnejad A. 45. Saeed Sadeghi 11. Shojaeian D. 21. Zavari M.	16. Aria Kia P. 38. Basir S. 35. Chabradze G. . Ghaed Rahmati M. 19. Ghazipour P. 79. Khaghani S. 2. Mohammadi N. . Nafari H. 12. Noushi Soufiani D. (G) . Ramezani A. 17. Shariatzadeh A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Qureshi M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tabrizi M. ↓, Ramezani A. ↑,
63', Mosleh S. ↓, Ghazipour P. ↑,
63', Azarpad M. ↓, Ghaed Rahmati M. ↑,
69', Goudarzi M. ↓, Zavari M. ↑,
69', Champness J. ↓, Daryabari M. ↑,
77', Eslami K. 🟨,
83', Qureshi M. 🟨,
90', Mokhtari P. ↓, Chabradze G. ↑,
90', Haghdoost M. ↓, Shojaeian D. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Azadegan League and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Havadar won 0.

Havadar has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Zob Ahan is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Zob Ahan is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Havadar won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:6 (average 1:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Havadar won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Havadar SC
Iran Pro League
20.01.25	Kheybar Khorramabad - Havadar	2:0 ✺
01.01.25	Havadar - Persepolis	0:5 ✺
27.12.24	Sepahan - Havadar	5:0 ✺
20.12.24	Havadar - Nassaji Mazandaran	0:1 ✺
13.12.24	Mes Rafsanjan - Havadar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLT
- Zob Ahan
Iran Pro League
21.01.25	Zob Ahan - Persepolis	0:0 ✺
02.01.25	Zob Ahan - Nassaji Mazandaran	0:0 ✺
27.12.24	Mes Rafsanjan - Zob Ahan	1:2 ✺
21.12.24	Zob Ahan - Malavan	1:0 ✺
10.12.24	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Zob Ahan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Hazfi Cup
24.11.24	Zob Ahan - Havadar	1:0 ET
Iran Pro League
23.08.24	Zob Ahan - Havadar	0:0
07.03.24	Havadar - Zob Ahan	2:2
30.08.23	Zob Ahan - Havadar	0:0
18.05.23	Zob Ahan - Havadar	3:3
04.01.23	Havadar - Zob Ahan	1:0
04.05.22	Havadar - Zob Ahan	1:0

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