Match Info

IRAN: Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 16

Date: 20 January 2025, Monday

Location: Takhti Stadium (Khorramabad)


	Kheybar Khorramabad		Havadar

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.85	3.2
	2.42	2.85	3.23
	2.4	2.85	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.35)	2.85 ↑ (2.78)	3.21 ↑ (3.1)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kheybar Khorramabad
38.5%

Draw
32.6%

Havadar
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

32.5%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

26.8%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kheybar Khorramabad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Havadar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kheybar Khorramabad than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kheybar Khorramabad that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Havadar than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Havadar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Abarghouei H.
33. Aghajanpour M.
88. Ahmadi M.
9. Faraz E.
19. Ghanbari M.
3. Hosseini E.
26. Jeddi A.
14. Khadempour S.
20. Saberipour M.
25. Tony Batista (G)
77. Zarouni H.
Substitutes
44. Amirkhani A.
66. Dehghan M.
12. Dinarvand M. (G)
28. Khalilzadeh A.
15. Mohebi M.
1. Naderpour M. (G)
2. Sefid M.
90. Tabatabaei M.
4. Tarhani M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Ghanbari M. ⚽, Zarouni H. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Champness J. ↓, Zavari M. ↑,
56', Gholamalibeigi S. ↓, Saeed Sadeghi ↑,
61', Saberipour M. ↓, Tabatabaei M. ↑,
73', Zarouni H. ↓, Sefid M. ↑,
73', Ahmadi M. ↓, Aghaei H. ↑,
74', Khodaei M. ↓, Haghdoost M. ↑,
74', Mamizadeh M. ↓, Shojaeian D. ↑,
87', 2 - 0, Sefid M. ⚽, Tabatabaei M. (A),
90+2', Ghanbari M. ↓, Dehghan M. ↑,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Azadegan League).

Kheybar Khorramabad is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Havadar has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Kheybar Khorramabad won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.3:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Kheybar Khorramabad won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kheybar Khorramabad
Iran Pro League
02.01.25	Kheybar Khorramabad - Mes Rafsanjan	1:2 ✺
27.12.24	Persepolis - Kheybar Khorramabad	3:1 ✺
19.12.24	Kheybar Khorramabad - Esteghlal Khuzestan	1:0 ✺
13.12.24	Nassaji Mazandaran - Kheybar Khorramabad	0:0 ✺
02.12.24	Kheybar Khorramabad - Malavan	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWTL
- Havadar SC
Iran Pro League
01.01.25	Havadar - Persepolis	0:5 ✺
27.12.24	Sepahan - Havadar	5:0 ✺
20.12.24	Havadar - Nassaji Mazandaran	0:1 ✺
13.12.24	Mes Rafsanjan - Havadar	1:1 ✺
02.12.24	Havadar - Esteghlal Khuzestan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
16.08.24	Havadar - Kheybar Khorramabad	0:1
Iran Division 1
14.06.21	Havadar - Kheybar Khorramabad	1:0
01.02.21	Kheybar Khorramabad - Havadar	0:1

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