Match Info

IRAN: Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 19

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Shahid Dastgerdi Stadium (Tehran)


	Havadar		Aluminium Arak

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.55	2.4
	3.5	2.6	2.25
	3.7	2.65	2.43
	3.52	2.62	2.37	Watch
	3.6	2.62	2.25
	3.47	2.63	2.42
	3.4	2.55	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↓ (5.78)	2.6 ↓ (3.36)	2.35 ↑ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Havadar
25.9%

Draw
35.1%

Aluminium Arak
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.7%

27%

57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.4%

26.4%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Havadar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Havadar's performance.

Aluminium Arak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aluminium Arak might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Havadar than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Havadar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aluminium Arak than the current prediction. (+19.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aluminium Arak could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Havadar - Aluminium Arak Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Moradian E. (G) 3. Badragheh M. 26. Norouzifard B. 83. Goodarzi B. 6. Haji Eidi A. 2. Ghahari E. 10. Jahan Kohan A. 79. Lotfi M. 5. Nouri A. 69. Kazemian A. 16. Jafari R.	13. Kia M. (G) 4. Haq Doost M. 23. Millar M. 6. Mohebbi S. 5. Gholamalibeigi S. 26. William J. 11. Shojaeian D. 8. Masoumi M. E. 21. Hossein M. 99. Islami K. 66. Khodai M.
Substitutes
9. Bozorg S. 88. Ghanbari A. 34. Kamalvand S. . Khani R. 11. Marzban R. 47. Norouzi H. 39. Rahmani M. 30. Rezaei A. 4. Soleimani A. 77. Vatandoost A.	7. Ahmadi M. 70. Asadi M. 78. Daryabari M. 1. Hossein Akbar M. 35. Jafari Y. . Mahdavi M. 67. Rahmani I. 14. Rahmati K. 45. Sadeghi M. H. 47. Sadeghnejad A. 16. Tahmasebi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Badragheh M. (Own goal),
19', Haji Eidi A. 🟨,
31', Badragheh M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Gharari E. ↓, Bozorg S. ↑,
66', Champness J. ↓, Mahdavi M. ↑,
66', Shojaeian D. ↓, Sadeghnejad A. ↑,
83', Masoumi M. E. 🟨,
90', Norouzifard B. ↓, Marzban R. ↑,
90', Noori A. ↓, Ghanbari A. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 1, Bozorg S. ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 1, Haghdoost M. ⚽, Zavari M. (A),

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Azadegan League and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Havadar won 1.

Havadar has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Aluminium Arak is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Aluminium Arak is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Havadar won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:11 (average 0.9:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Havadar won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.4:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Havadar SC
Iran Pro League
01.02.25	Tractor Sazi - Havadar	4:0 ✺
27.01.25	Havadar - Zob Ahan	0:0 ✺
20.01.25	Kheybar Khorramabad - Havadar	2:0 ✺
01.01.25	Havadar - Persepolis	0:5 ✺
27.12.24	Sepahan - Havadar	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTLLL
- Aluminium Arak
Iran Pro League
02.02.25	Aluminium Arak - Mes Rafsanjan	0:0 ✺
27.01.25	Nassaji Mazandaran - Aluminium Arak	1:2 ✺
20.01.25	Aluminium Arak - Esteghlal Khuzestan	1:1 ✺
02.01.25	Aluminium Arak - Shams Azar Qazvin	3:0 ✺
27.12.24	Malavan - Aluminium Arak	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
14.09.24	Aluminium Arak - Havadar	0:0
03.04.24	Aluminium Arak - Havadar	1:1
23.08.23	Havadar - Aluminium Arak	1:2
21.01.23	Havadar - Aluminium Arak	1:1
12.08.22	Aluminium Arak - Havadar	0:1
06.03.22	Aluminium Arak - Havadar	0:1
24.11.21	Havadar - Aluminium Arak	0:0

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