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Current Win Probability
Havadar 22.9%
Draw 32.2%
Shams Azar Qazvin 44.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.6%
38.8%
30.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27%
34.2%
34.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Havadar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Havadar's form might have worsened.
Shams Azar Qazvin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shams Azar Qazvin's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Havadar than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shams Azar Qazvin than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shams Azar Qazvin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
50%
50%
Havadar - Shams Azar Qazvin Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Shams Azar Qazvin will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for Shams Azar Qazvin: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Shakouri A. (G) 13. Mahdavi M. 14. Rahmati K. 44. Sattari M. 66. Khodaei M. 4. Haghdoost M. 8. Masoumi M. E. 21. Zavari M. 11. Shojaeian D. 78. Daryabari M. 99. Eslami K.
68. Forouzan M. (G) 76. Shabani A. 33. Rabizadeh H. 86. Kalbasi A. 78. Nasiri A. 79. Mahrooghi E. 60. Ahmadreza Z. 23. Albusabih S. 81. Habibi A. 20. Komar N. 11. Fakhrian M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
27', 0 - 1, Rabizadeh H. ⚽, Habibi A. (A),
31', 0 - 2, Fakhrian M. ⚽, Kalbasi A. (A),
45+3', Eslami K. ↓, Dindari M. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Albusabih S. ↓, Ghaseminejad A. ↑,
46', Fakhrian M. ↓, Azadeh M. ↑,
46', Daryabari M. ↓, Millar M. ↑,
55', Nasiri A. ↓, Moamelehgari F. ↑,
58', 1 - 2, Millar M. ⚽, Dindari M. (A),
69', 1 - 3, Habibi A. ⚽, Mahrooghi E. (A),
75', Kalbasi A. ↓, Mohammadi M. ↑,
76', Mahdavi M. ↓, Champness J. ↑,
77', 2 - 3, Haghdoost M. ⚽, Champness J. (A),
82', Rahmati K. ↓, Gholamalibeigi S. ↑,
83', Shakouri A. 🟨,
87', Habibi A. ↓, Sourgi M. M. ↑,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Azadegan League and 14).
Havadar is Relegated to Azadegan League
Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
Shams Azar Qazvin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Havadar won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Havadar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1