Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 14

Date: 25 October 2023, Wednesday


	Havant & Waterlooville		Aveley

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.5	3.2
	2.05	3.4	2.95
	2.1	3.6	3.1	Watch
	2.06	3.68	3.48
	2.01	3.68	3.48
	2.3	3.4	2.7
	2.03	3.6	3.22
	2.07	3.45	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.7)	3.54 ↑ (3.3)	3.15 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Havant & Waterlooville
44.4%

Draw
26.2%

Aveley
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

27.7%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

27.8%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Havant & Waterlooville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Havant & Waterlooville's performance.

Aveley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aveley might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Havant & Waterlooville than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Havant & Waterlooville that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aveley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Havant & Waterlooville - Aveley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Havant has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Aveley is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Havant could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Havant won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Havant & Waterlooville
English National League South
21.10.23	Dartford - Havant & Waterlooville	2:0 ✺
07.10.23	Havant & Waterlooville - Hampton & Richmond Borough	1:2 ✺
23.09.23	Taunton Town - Havant & Waterlooville	0:0 ✺
09.09.23	Havant & Waterlooville - Truro City	1:3 ✺
06.09.23	Havant & Waterlooville - Eastbourne Borough	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLTLL
- Aveley
English National League South
21.10.23	Aveley - Truro City	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
17.10.23	Barnet - Aveley	4:0 ✺
14.10.23	Aveley - Barnet	2:2 ✺
English National League South
07.10.23	Yeovil Town - Aveley	3:1 ✺
English FA Cup
03.10.23	Hornchurch - Aveley	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
10.10.15	Aveley - Havant & Waterlooville	0:2

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