Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 36

Date: 24 February 2024, Saturday


	Havant & Waterlooville		Bath City

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.3	2.2
	2.85	3.5	2.25
	2.82	3.4	2.21
	2.97	3.47	2.31
	2.96	3.44	2.22
	2.8	3.4	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↓ (3.69)	3.42 ↓ (3.56)	2.24 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Havant & Waterlooville
32.1%

Draw
26.8%

Bath City
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

26.1%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

25.5%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Havant & Waterlooville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Havant & Waterlooville's performance.

Bath City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bath City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Havant & Waterlooville than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Havant & Waterlooville that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bath City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Havant & Waterlooville - Bath City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Havant won 0.

Havant is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bath in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Bath could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Havant have a series of guest games.

Recently Bath have a series of home games.

Bath will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 22 head-to-head matches Havant won 7 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 21-28.

Including matches at home between the teams Havant won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Havant & Waterlooville
English National League South
20.02.24	Eastbourne Borough - Havant & Waterlooville	2:1 ✺
17.02.24	Yeovil Town - Havant & Waterlooville	1:0 ✺
03.02.24	Havant & Waterlooville - Chelmsford City	2:1 ✺
27.01.24	Chippenham Town - Havant & Waterlooville	1:0 ✺
23.01.24	St Albans City - Havant & Waterlooville	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWLL
- Bath City
English National League South
20.02.24	Bath City - Truro City	2:1 ✺
17.02.24	Bath City - St Albans City	3:1 ✺
10.02.24	Bath City - Dartford	1:0 ✺
03.02.24	Bath City - Eastbourne Borough	1:0 ✺
23.01.24	Weston-super-Mare - Bath City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
02.09.23	Bath City - Havant & Waterlooville	2:0
21.02.23	Bath City - Havant & Waterlooville	2:0
26.10.22	Havant & Waterlooville - Bath City	2:2
15.04.22	Bath City - Havant & Waterlooville	0:0
04.12.21	Havant & Waterlooville - Bath City	1:3
19.01.21	Bath City - Havant & Waterlooville	2:1
English FA Cup
24.10.20	Bath City - Havant & Waterlooville	0:3

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