Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 30

Date: 23 January 2024, Tuesday


	St Albans City		Havant & Waterlooville

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.6	2.85
	2.24	3.87	2.84
	2.1	3.6	2.75
	2.19	3.65	2.87
	2.18	3.55	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.65)	3.65 ↓ (4)	2.81 ↓ (4.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St Albans City
42.1%

Draw
25.2%

Havant & Waterlooville
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

23.2%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

22.4%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St Albans City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St Albans City's form might have worsened.

Havant & Waterlooville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Havant & Waterlooville's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Albans City than the current prediction. (+16.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St Albans City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Havant & Waterlooville than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Havant & Waterlooville, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

St Albans City - Havant & Waterlooville Predictions

Users Predictions: St Albans City will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches St Albans won 5.

St Albans is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Havant is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

St Albans could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

St Albans will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches St Albans won 9 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 22-10.

Including matches at home between the teams St Albans won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St Albans City
English National League South
13.01.24	Eastbourne Borough - St Albans City	1:2 ✺
06.01.24	St Albans City - Farnborough	2:1 ✺
01.01.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - St Albans City	2:3 ✺
26.12.23	St Albans City - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:2 ✺
23.12.23	Dartford - St Albans City	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WWWLW
- Havant & Waterlooville
English National League South
20.01.24	Havant & Waterlooville - Weston-super-Mare	1:2 ✺
13.01.24	Havant & Waterlooville - Maidstone United	2:1 ✺
01.01.24	Farnborough - Havant & Waterlooville	2:4 ✺
26.12.23	Havant & Waterlooville - Farnborough	0:1 ✺
23.12.23	Truro City - Havant & Waterlooville	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
16.08.23	Havant & Waterlooville - St Albans City	1:2
28.03.23	St Albans City - Havant & Waterlooville	2:0
08.03.23	Havant & Waterlooville - St Albans City	1:2
05.02.22	Havant & Waterlooville - St Albans City	0:1
25.09.21	St Albans City - Havant & Waterlooville	1:0
22.02.20	Havant & Waterlooville - St Albans City	1:2
02.11.19	St Albans City - Havant & Waterlooville	1:3

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