Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 7

Date: 3 September 2024, Tuesday

Location: Twerton Park (Bath)


	Bath City		Truro City

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.95	2.35
	2.8	3.1	2.5
	2.81	3.15	2.56
	2.75	3.09	2.5	Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.4
	2.78	3.14	2.46
	2.8	3.1	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.2)	3.09 ↓ (3.48)	2.47 ↓ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bath City
33.1%

Draw
29.7%

Truro City
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

26.6%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

25.2%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bath City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bath City's form might have worsened.

Truro City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Truro City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bath City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Bath City - Truro City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Wanjau-Smith S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 17 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bath won 1.

Recent matches Bath is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Truro in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Bath won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Bath won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bath City
English National League South
31.08.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - Bath City	4:2 ✺
26.08.24	Bath City - Hampton & Richmond Borough	1:0 ✺
24.08.24	Tonbridge Angels - Bath City	0:0 ✺
20.08.24	Bath City - Torquay United	1:2 ✺
17.08.24	Bath City - Welling United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWTLW
- Truro City
English National League South
31.08.24	Truro City - Chelmsford City	2:1 ✺
26.08.24	Truro City - Worthing	5:0 ✺
24.08.24	Truro City - Enfield Town	3:1 ✺
20.08.24	Salisbury - Truro City	1:1 ✺
17.08.24	Maidstone United - Truro City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.1 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
20.02.24	Bath City - Truro City	2:1
05.09.23	Truro City - Bath City	1:1
02.03.19	Bath City - Truro City	1:1
30.10.18	Truro City - Bath City	1:1
06.01.18	Bath City - Truro City	0:0
15.08.17	Truro City - Bath City	1:2
11.02.17	Bath City - Truro City	4:0

Upcoming Matches