Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 29

Date: 10 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Twerton Park (Bath)


	Bath City		Dartford

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.3	3.8
	1.8	3.6	4
	1.79	3.5	3.65
	1.89	3.82	3.64
	1.85	3.4	3.6
	1.85	3.58	3.86
	1.85	3.4	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.57)	3.51 ↓ (4.06)	3.76 ↓ (5.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bath City
49.8%

Draw
25.9%

Dartford
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

22.8%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

22.3%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bath City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bath City's form might have worsened.

Dartford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dartford's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bath City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dartford than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dartford, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Bath City - Dartford Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bath will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Dartford will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Postponed due to frozen pitch.

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bath won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Bath will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Bath won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 10-28.

Including matches at home between the teams Bath won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 6-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bath City
English National League South
03.02.24	Bath City - Eastbourne Borough	1:0 ✺
23.01.24	Weston-super-Mare - Bath City	0:1 ✺
09.01.24	Bath City - Slough Town	1:2 ✺
06.01.24	Yeovil Town - Bath City	2:0 ✺
01.01.24	Bath City - Chippenham Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLLT
- Dartford
English National League South
03.02.24	Farnborough - Dartford	2:1 ✺
27.01.24	Dartford - Weymouth	0:1 ✺
09.01.24	Maidstone United - Dartford	2:1 ✺
06.01.24	Weston-super-Mare - Dartford	2:2 ✺
30.12.23	Dartford - Welling United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
05.08.23	Dartford - Bath City	3:3
10.12.22	Dartford - Bath City	0:0
06.08.22	Bath City - Dartford	0:2
19.02.22	Dartford - Bath City	2:0
English FA Trophy
27.11.21	Bath City - Dartford	0:1 penalties
English National League South
04.09.21	Bath City - Dartford	1:3
17.10.20	Dartford - Bath City	1:0

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