Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 33

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Twerton Park (Bath)


	Bath City		St Albans City

	1	X	2
	2.44	2.95	2.75
	2.67	3.08	2.74
	2.52	3.08	2.91	Watch
	2.43	3.15	2.77
	2.44	2.95	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.13)	3.04 ↓ (3.19)	2.78 ↓ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bath City
36.8%

Draw
30.2%

St Albans City
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

28.5%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

27.9%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bath City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bath City's form might have worsened.

St Albans City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bath City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Albans City than the current prediction. (-5%)

Bath City - St Albans City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 0 - 1, Dausch A. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 18 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bath won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

St Albans could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Bath won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 26:26 (average 1.4:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Bath won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:13 (average 1.3:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bath City
English National League South
11.02.25	Weymouth - Bath City	0:3 ✺
08.02.25	Bath City - Hornchurch	0:2 ✺
04.02.25	Bath City - Chelmsford City	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	Truro City - Bath City	0:0 ✺
25.01.25	Bath City - Chesham United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLWTT
- St Albans City
English National League South
11.02.25	St Albans City - Slough Town	1:0 ✺
08.02.25	Welling United - St Albans City	1:1 ✺
28.01.25	St Albans City - Tonbridge Angels	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Salisbury - St Albans City	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	St Albans City - Torquay United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
26.10.24	St Albans City - Bath City	3:2
17.02.24	Bath City - St Albans City	3:1
28.08.23	St Albans City - Bath City	0:2
18.03.23	Bath City - St Albans City	1:3
26.11.22	St Albans City - Bath City	3:0
26.02.22	St Albans City - Bath City	3:2
23.10.21	Bath City - St Albans City	0:2

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