Match Info

Premier League - Round 18

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday


	Hawassa City		Ethio Electric

	1	X	2
	2.58	2.52	3
	2.84	2.17	3.65
	2.64	2.44	3.35	Watch
	2.6	2.25	3.1
	2.62	2.46	3.56	Watch
	2.45	2.62	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.75)	2.41 ↓ (2.7)	3.33 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hawassa City
34.8%

Draw
37.8%

Ethio Electric
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

33.3%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

33.9%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hawassa City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Ethio Electric has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ethio Electric might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hawassa City than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethio Electric than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ethio Electric could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hawassa City - Ethio Electric Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Hefamo T. ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 0, Kebede G. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 and 7).

Hawassa City is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ethio Electric has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Hawassa City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Hawassa City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Hawassa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Ethio Electric	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Ethio Electric - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 33.95%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hawassa City SC
Ethiopian Premier League
25.01.26	Bahir Dar Kenema - Hawassa City	0:0 ✺
21.01.26	Hawassa City - Negele Arsi Ketema	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Hawassa City	1:1 ✺
09.01.26	Hawassa City - Saint George	1:0 ✺
03.01.26	Arba Minch - Hawassa City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TWTWT
- Ethio Electric SC
Ethiopian Premier League
26.01.26	Ethio Electric - Welayta Dicha	0:0 ✺
20.01.26	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Ethio Electric	2:1 ✺
16.01.26	Ethio Electric - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	2:1 ✺
09.01.26	Dire Dawa City - Ethio Electric	0:0 ✺
03.01.26	Ethio Electric - Welwalo Adigrat	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
09.04.25	Ethio Electric - Hawassa City	1:1
01.11.24	Hawassa City - Ethio Electric	1:2
09.06.23	Ethio Electric - Hawassa City	1:2
14.12.22	Hawassa City - Ethio Electric	1:0

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