Match Info

Premier League - Round 13

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday


	Arba Minch		Hawassa City

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.68	2.32
	3.51	2.68	2.33	Watch
	3.4	2.5	2.3
	3.4	2.73	2.27	Watch
	3.5	2.66	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↑ (3.16)	2.65 ↓ (2.87)	2.31 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Arba Minch
26.5%

Draw
34.2%

Hawassa City
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

32.1%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

31.9%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arba Minch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Hawassa City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arba Minch than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hawassa City than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Arba Minch - Hawassa City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hawassa City (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arba Minch won 2.

Arba Minch has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Hawassa City's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hawassa City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Hawassa City will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Arba Minch won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Arba Minch won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Hawassa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arba Minch FC
Ethiopian Premier League
29.12.25	Welayta Dicha - Arba Minch	0:0 ✺
24.12.25	Arba Minch - Mekelle 70 Enderta	0:2 ✺
19.12.25	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Arba Minch	3:1 ✺
07.12.25	Arba Minch - Ethiopia Bunna	0:0 ✺
02.12.25	Saint George - Arba Minch	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLTL
- Hawassa City SC
Ethiopian Premier League
30.12.25	Hawassa City - Hadiya Hossana	0:1 ✺
25.12.25	Sheger Ketema - Hawassa City	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Hawassa City - Ethiopian Medhin	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Hawassa City - Mechal	1:1 ✺
01.12.25	Shire Endaselassie - Hawassa City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
12.05.25	Arba Minch - Hawassa City	0:1
08.12.24	Hawassa City - Arba Minch	0:1
06.07.23	Hawassa City - Arba Minch	1:1
23.02.23	Arba Minch - Hawassa City	1:1
17.05.22	Arba Minch - Hawassa City	2:1
24.12.21	Hawassa City - Arba Minch	1:0

Arba Minch - Hawassa City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide