Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League South Division - Round 34

Date: 9 April 2024, Tuesday


	Hayes & Yeading United		Basingstoke Town

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.5	2.6
	2.2	3.6	2.7
	2.27	3.71	2.71
	2.27	3.71	2.71
	2.28	3.59	2.74
	2.2	3.6	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.02)	3.62 ↑ (3.6)	2.69 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hayes & Yeading United
40.8%

Draw
25.2%

Basingstoke Town
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

25.3%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

27.1%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hayes & Yeading United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Basingstoke Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hayes & Yeading United than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hayes & Yeading United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basingstoke Town than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Basingstoke Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hayes & Yeading United - Basingstoke Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Nasha A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+3', Faniyan S. 🟨,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 14 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hayes & Yeading won 2.

Recent matches Hayes & Yeading is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Basingstoke is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hayes & Yeading will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Hayes & Yeading won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Hayes & Yeading won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hayes & Yeading United
English Southern League South Division
06.04.24	Hayes & Yeading United - Dorchester Town	0:1 ✺
01.04.24	Hayes & Yeading United - Hendon	0:0 ✺
29.03.24	Chesham United - Hayes & Yeading United	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	Hayes & Yeading United - Swindon Supermarine	2:2 ✺
09.03.24	Hayes & Yeading United - Gosport Borough	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LTLTL
- Basingstoke Town
English Southern League South Division
06.04.24	Basingstoke Town - Bracknell Town	1:3 ✺
01.04.24	Salisbury - Basingstoke Town	2:1 ✺
29.03.24	Basingstoke Town - Gosport Borough	3:0 ✺
23.03.24	Basingstoke Town - Chesham United	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Basingstoke Town - Hendon	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
24.10.23	Basingstoke Town - Hayes & Yeading United	0:3
English Southern Premier League
14.02.17	Hayes & Yeading United - Basingstoke Town	2:3
16.08.16	Basingstoke Town - Hayes & Yeading United	1:1
English National League South
28.12.15	Basingstoke Town - Hayes & Yeading United	1:0
29.08.15	Hayes & Yeading United - Basingstoke Town	3:0
04.04.15	Hayes & Yeading United - Basingstoke Town	0:1
23.08.14	Basingstoke Town - Hayes & Yeading United	2:0

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