Match Info

Date: 1 April 2024, Monday


	Salisbury		Basingstoke Town

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.8	4
	1.68	4	4
	1.69	4.26	4
	1.69	4.27	4
	1.65	3.92	4.25
	1.68	4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 (1.67)	4.04 ↓ (4.13)	4.04 ↓ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salisbury
54.7%

Draw
22.6%

Basingstoke Town
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

22.3%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

23.7%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salisbury has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

The chances for Basingstoke Town have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salisbury than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basingstoke Town than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Brown S. ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, Coppin N. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
80', 2 - 1, Coppin N. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League South Division (Play Offs: ) and 10).

Recent matches Salisbury is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Basingstoke in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Basingstoke have a series of home games.

In this match Salisbury is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Salisbury won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Salisbury won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salisbury FC
English Southern League South Division
30.03.24	Swindon Supermarine - Salisbury	3:3 ✺
23.03.24	Dorchester Town - Salisbury	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Salisbury - Merthyr Town	0:0 ✺
09.03.24	Salisbury - Chesham United	3:1 ✺
24.02.24	Salisbury - Didcot Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLTWT
- Basingstoke Town
English Southern League South Division
29.03.24	Basingstoke Town - Gosport Borough	3:0 ✺
23.03.24	Basingstoke Town - Chesham United	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Basingstoke Town - Hendon	3:2 ✺
24.02.24	Basingstoke Town - Plymouth Parkway	1:0 ✺
17.02.24	Poole Town - Basingstoke Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
30.12.23	Basingstoke Town - Salisbury	0:0
23.02.19	Salisbury - Basingstoke Town	2:1
05.02.19	Basingstoke Town - Salisbury	0:2
English National League South
27.04.13	Basingstoke Town - Salisbury	0:4
05.03.13	Salisbury - Basingstoke Town	0:2
14.02.12	Basingstoke Town - Salisbury	N/A

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