Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League South Division - Round 39

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Hayes & Yeading United		Dorchester Town

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	2.8
	2.15	3.6	2.8
	2.12	3.91	2.91
	2.12	3.91	2.91
	2.13	3.6	2.87
	2.15	3.6	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.05)	3.69 ↓ (3.73)	2.85 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hayes & Yeading United
43%

Draw
24.8%

Dorchester Town
32.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.6%

24.5%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

24.3%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hayes & Yeading United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Dorchester Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hayes & Yeading United than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorchester Town than the current prediction. (-1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Pardoe L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hayes & Yeading won 4.

Hayes & Yeading is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Dorchester is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hayes & Yeading could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Hayes & Yeading will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Hayes & Yeading won 8 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 29-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Hayes & Yeading won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hayes & Yeading United
English Southern League South Division
01.04.24	Hayes & Yeading United - Hendon	0:0 ✺
29.03.24	Chesham United - Hayes & Yeading United	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	Hayes & Yeading United - Swindon Supermarine	2:2 ✺
09.03.24	Hayes & Yeading United - Gosport Borough	0:3 ✺
24.02.24	Merthyr Town - Hayes & Yeading United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLTLT
- Dorchester Town
English Southern League South Division
01.04.24	Dorchester Town - Tiverton Town	2:1 ✺
30.03.24	Winchester City - Dorchester Town	1:1 ✺
23.03.24	Dorchester Town - Salisbury	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Beaconsfield Town - Dorchester Town	3:4 ✺
09.03.24	Dorchester Town - Beaconsfield Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
28.10.23	Dorchester Town - Hayes & Yeading United	1:1
18.03.23	Hayes & Yeading United - Dorchester Town	4:0
15.10.22	Dorchester Town - Hayes & Yeading United	1:3
29.01.22	Hayes & Yeading United - Dorchester Town	3:0
09.10.21	Dorchester Town - Hayes & Yeading United	0:1
18.01.20	Hayes & Yeading United - Dorchester Town	5:0
24.09.19	Dorchester Town - Hayes & Yeading United	2:3

Hayes & Yeading United - Dorchester Town

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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