Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE SOUTH DIVISION - ROUND 20

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday


	Dorchester Town		Beaconsfield Town

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.5	2.37
	2.4	3.75	2.4
	2.42	3.78	2.46
	2.43	3.78	2.46
	2.4	3.65	2.4
	2.4	3.75	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.31)	3.7 ↓ (3.72)	2.42 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dorchester Town
37.8%

Draw
24.6%

Beaconsfield Town
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

24.4%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

24.1%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dorchester Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Beaconsfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorchester Town than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beaconsfield Town than the current prediction. (-1%)

Dorchester Town - Beaconsfield Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dorchester won 1.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Beaconsfield could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Dorchester won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Dorchester won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dorchester Town
English Southern League South Division
28.02.24	Totton - Dorchester Town	4:4 ✺
24.02.24	Dorchester Town - Hendon	2:2 ✺
17.02.24	Bracknell Town - Dorchester Town	1:3 ✺
10.02.24	Dorchester Town - Gosport Borough	0:3 ✺
06.02.24	Hanwell Town - Dorchester Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 TTWLT
- Beaconsfield Town
English Southern League South Division
02.03.24	Gosport Borough - Beaconsfield Town	1:2 ✺
24.02.24	Beaconsfield Town - Walton & Hersham	2:1 ✺
17.02.24	Didcot Town - Beaconsfield Town	0:1 ✺
10.02.24	Beaconsfield Town - Hayes & Yeading United	2:3 ✺
03.02.24	Sholing - Beaconsfield Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
14.03.23	Dorchester Town - Beaconsfield Town	0:2
20.08.22	Beaconsfield Town - Dorchester Town	0:1
15.01.22	Beaconsfield Town - Dorchester Town	2:0
14.08.21	Dorchester Town - Beaconsfield Town	1:2
04.01.20	Beaconsfield Town - Dorchester Town	3:1
10.08.19	Dorchester Town - Beaconsfield Town	1:0
30.03.19	Dorchester Town - Beaconsfield Town	1:3

Dorchester Town - Beaconsfield Town: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide