The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hearts 25.8%
Draw 27.2%
İstanbul Başakşehir 46.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
31.2%
28.4%
40.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31%
28.2%
40.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hearts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hearts's form might have worsened.
İstanbul Başakşehir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting İstanbul Başakşehir's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hearts than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hearts, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for İstanbul Başakşehir, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
21.6%
15.7%
62.7%
Hearts - İstanbul Başakşehir Predictions
Users Predictions:
51 users predict this event. Hearts will win (votes: 11 - 21.6%). Başakşehir will win (votes: 32 - 62.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 15.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Başakşehir: 49.4% – 76%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Hearts has currently - 0, has a small chance of 1st (8%), has a chance of 2nd (23%), has a chance of 3rd (38%), has a chance of round of 16 (16%), has a very small chance of qtrs (5%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Başakşehir has currently - 0, has a chance of 1st (22%), has a chance of 2nd (42%), has a chance of 3rd (25%), has a chance of round of 16 (44%), has a chance of qtrs (20%), has a small chance of semis (8%), has a very small chance of final (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality47, big importance89, match rating68. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Hearts is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Başakşehir is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Hearts could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Başakşehir will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Hearts: Baningime B.
(Knee Injury)
Grant J.
(Red Card)
There will not play in Başakşehir: Peksen M.
(Injury)
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