Match Info

Premiership - Round 15

Date: 3 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Tynecastle Park (Edinburgh)

Referee: Beaton J. (Sco)


	Hearts		Kilmarnock

	1	X	2
	1.3	5	9	Watch
	1.34	4.7	8.8	Watch
	1.36	5.19	8.96
	1.36	4.93	8.76	Watch
	1.33	4.75	9
	1.35	4.7	8.75	Watch
	1.33	5	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↑ (1.22)	4.9 ↓ (5.58)	8.82 ↓ (11.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hearts
70.2%

Draw
19.2%

Kilmarnock
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.4%

16.4%

8.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hearts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hearts's form might have worsened.

Kilmarnock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Hearts - Kilmarnock Predictions

Users Predictions: Hearts will win (21 of 21 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hearts will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Schwolow A. (G) 12. Borchgrevink C. 2. Kent F. 19. Findlay S. 18. Milne H. 17. Forrest A. 22. Magnusson T. 14. Devlin C. 89. Kyziridis A. 11. Kabore P. 9. Shankland L.	20. Oluwayemi T. (G) 25. Schilte-Brown E. 5. Mayo L. 6. Deas R. 15. Brown J. 22. Thomson J. 18. Lowery T. 3. Thompson D. 8. Lyons B. (C) 11. Kiltie G. 24. John-Jules T.
Substitutes
10. Braga C. 1. Gordon C. (G) 4. Halkett C. 7. Kabangu E. 29. Kerjota S. 3. Kingsley S. 5. McCart J. 31. McEntee O. 16. Spittal B.	19. Anderson B. 30. Beach E. (G) 26. Brannan B. 9. Dackers M. 31. Polworth L. 14. Stanger G. 17. Tiffoney S. 12. Watson D. 4. Williams Z.
Coaches
McInnes D.	Kettlewell S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Deas R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 1 - 0, Shankland L. ⚽, Kabore P. (A),
62', Thompson D. ↓, Watson D. ↑,
66', Kabore P. ↓, Braga C. ↑,
66', Forrest A. ↓, Spittal B. ↑,
70', Schilte-Brown E. ↓, Tiffoney S. ↑,
70', Lowery T. ↓, Anderson B. ↑,
70', John-Jules T. ↓, Dackers M. ↑,
74', Magnusson T. 🟨,
80', Borchgrevink C. ↓, McEntee O. ↑,
81', Lyons B. ↓, Polworth L. ↑,
90', 1 - 1, Anderson B. ⚽,
90+6', Brown J. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hearts won 3.

Hearts has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kilmarnock is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Hearts is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Hearts: Ageu (Hamstring Injury) Baningime B. (Hamstring Injury) Nieuwenhof C. (Calf Injury) Pollock F. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Kilmarnock: Brandon J. (Injury) Daniels D. (Injury) Kennedy M. (Hip Injury) Magennis K. (Inactive) Stryjek M. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hearts won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:23. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Hearts won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heart of Midlothian
Scottish Premier League
29.11.25	Motherwell - Hearts	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Aberdeen - Hearts	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Hearts - Dundee United	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Hearts - Dundee	4:0 ✺
29.10.25	St. Mirren - Hearts	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLTWT
- Kilmarnock FC
Scottish Premier League
29.11.25	Kilmarnock - Dundee United	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Kilmarnock - Motherwell	1:3 ✺
09.11.25	Celtic - Kilmarnock	4:0 ✺
01.11.25	Falkirk - Kilmarnock	3:1 ✺
29.10.25	Kilmarnock - Aberdeen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
18.10.25	Kilmarnock - Hearts	0:3
18.05.25	Kilmarnock - Hearts	0:1
25.01.25	Hearts - Kilmarnock	3:2
15.12.24	Kilmarnock - Hearts	1:0
30.10.24	Hearts - Kilmarnock	1:2
27.04.24	Kilmarnock - Hearts	0:0
30.03.24	Hearts - Kilmarnock	1:1

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