Match Info

Date: 13 March 2021, Saturday


	Hearts		Ayr United

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.25	10	Watch
	1.3	4.6	8
	1.32	4.9	7.5	Watch
	1.3	5	8
	1.34	5.52	9.06
	1.3	4.75	9	Watch
	1.29	5.3	9.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.33)	5.05 ↑ (4.91)	8.74 ↑ (8.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hearts
71%

Draw
18.4%

Ayr United
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.8%

18.9%

11.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

83.8%

15.7%

9.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hearts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Ayr United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hearts than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hearts, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Hearts - Ayr United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hearts is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ayr is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ayr could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hearts is indisputable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Hearts won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Hearts won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heart of Midlothian
Scottish Football Championship
06.03.21	Hearts - Dundee	2:1 ✺
26.02.21	Inverness - Hearts	1:1 ✺
20.02.21	Hearts - Greenock Morton	1:1 ✺
12.02.21	Queen of the South - Hearts	1:1 ✺
05.02.21	Ayr United - Hearts	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WTTTW
- Ayr United
Scottish Football Championship
09.03.21	Raith Rovers - Ayr United	0:0 ✺
06.03.21	Greenock Morton - Ayr United	0:2 ✺
27.02.21	Ayr United - Arbroath	0:1 ✺
20.02.21	Ayr United - Inverness	0:2 ✺
05.02.21	Ayr United - Hearts	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
05.02.21	Ayr United - Hearts	0:1
26.12.20	Hearts - Ayr United	5:3

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